Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
#826
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
That's never going to work. but the question of how you make it happen when infection is front of people's mind is a difficult one :
- If you wait for a vaccine then you could be waiting a long time, even forever. And the airlines would be dead by that point.
- You might find a palliative to make the virus not matter - "take one of these and you'll be OK in the morning". Again, its a hail mary pass.
- Quarantining passengers for 14 days is a non-starter.
- You might insist that any region connected by air is certified free of the virus (eg the NZ bubble). Not a bad stopgap, and inducement for politician to stop being thick, but we see no sign that large scale countries can/will get there.
#827
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 704
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
Not at all my view on a personal level, but expect such arguments to surface.
E.g.
- emissions globally are way down anyway due to COVID-19
- those who still want to buy thermal coal for electricity generation are serving poorer consumers in less-developed countries
- the greens promised tourism would displace coal as the primary driver of jobs and income in FNQ, but that's not happening now, so why not greenlight Adani and Palmer and Rinehart and others...
- letting King Coal off the leash creates quite literally a "shovel-ready" fillup for QLD's depleted state coffers
And in terms of raw $$$, it would be far too easy to find an extra $6B/year in raw state GDP replacement from expanded business cases for coal projects.
Last edited by abner; May 16th 2020 at 12:27 pm.
#828
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 14,040
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
That's never going to work. but the question of how you make it happen when infection is front of people's mind is a difficult one :
- If you wait for a vaccine then you could be waiting a long time, even forever. And the airlines would be dead by that point.
- You might find a palliative to make the virus not matter - "take one of these and you'll be OK in the morning". Again, its a hail mary pass.
- Quarantining passengers for 14 days is a non-starter.
- You might insist that any region connected by air is certified free of the virus (eg the NZ bubble). Not a bad stopgap, and inducement for politician to stop being thick, but we see no sign that large scale countries can/will get there.
- Accept there will be infections, manage it, and crack on.
- The more we accept the above, the more likely the virus will just become a strain of all other and eventually disappear (Spanish Flu), get a vaccine, get drugs to manage it's effects
#829
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
- Accept there will be infections, manage it, and crack on.
- The more we accept the above, the more likely the virus will just become a strain of all other and eventually disappear (Spanish Flu), get a vaccine, get drugs to manage it's effects
#830
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 14,040
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
Totally reprehensible attitude. What you are saying is that you want many more grannies to die. Millions of them in fact. Eradication is the only solution we know will work, but thanks to incompetence and that daft "flatten the curve" meme, it's not what most are aiming at. Opening up without solving the problem just means the virus will take off again.
1. It dies out like SARS
2. A vaccine can immune most of the population. (This may never come)
Sadly the grannies will just have to be locked down or hope:
1. It dies out like SARS
2. A vaccine can immune most of the population. This may never come)
3. Drugs can manage the immune response and ultimate death.
#831
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
There is no such thing as eradication as New Zealand and Victoria have demonstrated. This thing is with us until:
1. It dies out like SARS
2. A vaccine can immune most of the population. (This may never come)
Sadly the grannies will just have to be locked down or hope:
1. It dies out like SARS
2. A vaccine can immune most of the population. This may never come)
3. Drugs can manage the immune response and ultimate death.
1. It dies out like SARS
2. A vaccine can immune most of the population. (This may never come)
Sadly the grannies will just have to be locked down or hope:
1. It dies out like SARS
2. A vaccine can immune most of the population. This may never come)
3. Drugs can manage the immune response and ultimate death.
SA is on zero active now, and no new cases since 7th May (and that one was the first in two weeks so ). ACT is also on zero active and have been for a week.
To say there is no such thing as eradication is both true and false - true that in all likelihood the virus will be around for some time, but false in that it can be eradicated from a region / country.
#832
BE Forum Addict
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 2,900
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
62 nations have now backed Australia's motion for an investigation into the origins of the virus, including the US, UK, Canada, New Zealand, Russia, India, and all member states of the European Union. A document with tougher language towards China from the European Union is forthcoming.
#833
BE Forum Addict
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 2,900
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
It has flown completely under the radar and is being ignored by the media, but there is a humanitarian and medical catastrophe unfolding in Russia. They now have the third-largest number of cases and will likely overtake Spain for second-most shortly.
I have a lot of experience living and working in that region of the world and outside of certain quarters of Moscow and St Petersburg, and possibly Nizhny Novgorod, the Russian medical system does not have the capacity to cope.
Russia, like China, is also probably releasing fudged figures however Putin has telegraphed the unfolding disaster in recent days.
I have a lot of experience living and working in that region of the world and outside of certain quarters of Moscow and St Petersburg, and possibly Nizhny Novgorod, the Russian medical system does not have the capacity to cope.
Russia, like China, is also probably releasing fudged figures however Putin has telegraphed the unfolding disaster in recent days.
#834
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 14,040
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
There are 18 countries / territories that currently have no active cases - Cambodia being the largest population with zero but others include PNG who have been on zero active cases for two weeks now.
SA is on zero active now, and no new cases since 7th May (and that one was the first in two weeks so ). ACT is also on zero active and have been for a week.
To say there is no such thing as eradication is both true and false - true that in all likelihood the virus will be around for some time, but false in that it can be eradicated from a region / country.
SA is on zero active now, and no new cases since 7th May (and that one was the first in two weeks so ). ACT is also on zero active and have been for a week.
To say there is no such thing as eradication is both true and false - true that in all likelihood the virus will be around for some time, but false in that it can be eradicated from a region / country.
FWIW, Garry's original idea of eradication was hard line lock down for an extended period until it was gone. He may have changed his stance on that.
PNG took some social distancing measures, it was very far from NZ style hard line.
PNG had a total of about 2000 tests over 9 mil people. Yep. Die out or people just don't know they have it.
#835
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
If you are in a mess, like the US, then it's really the only option to bring it under control. As far as Australia is concerned, the example of NSW and VIC has shown that we were on the ragged edge of going down the out of control path. We were luck to gain control with lighter touch restrictions, and the risk really was too high. The ignorance and lack of modelling was frightening.
#836
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
Looks like I’ll get back onto a cricket pitch before the office, result!
#838
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 14,040
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
If you are in a mess, like the US, then it's really the only option to bring it under control. As far as Australia is concerned, the example of NSW and VIC has shown that we were on the ragged edge of going down the out of control path. We were luck to gain control with lighter touch restrictions, and the risk really was too high. The ignorance and lack of modelling was frightening.
Yes we could have gone "out of control" but the right measures were put in place. Namely, entry to citizens and residents, 2 weeks forced quarrentine, and sensible social distancing practices. Most importantly we got the timing right unlike the US and UK, and the second most important part is Australia's measures were proportional.
#840
Auntie Fa
Joined: Nov 2006
Location: Seattle
Posts: 7,344
Re: Coronavirus - how's everyone doing?
Yes but "under control" is not "eradication".
Yes we could have gone "out of control" but the right measures were put in place. Namely, entry to citizens and residents, 2 weeks forced quarrentine, and sensible social distancing practices. Most importantly we got the timing right unlike the US and UK, and the second most important part is Australia's measures were proportional.
Yes we could have gone "out of control" but the right measures were put in place. Namely, entry to citizens and residents, 2 weeks forced quarrentine, and sensible social distancing practices. Most importantly we got the timing right unlike the US and UK, and the second most important part is Australia's measures were proportional.