Australia's burning

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Old Jan 8th 2020, 10:37 am
  #271  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by moneypenny20
The whole point is that the current situation is in no way 'normal' , nor is it part and parcel of living here. If you just read some of what's been posted, you'd realise that.

It was close to this bad in Victoria and South Australia in 1983, Ash Wednesday 16th February Melbourne was cut off from the rest of Australia by a ring of fire. The death toll was far higher @ 75 people, 47 died in 12 hours.. We also had an unprecedented dust storm that blanketed the whole city. There were quite a few towns wiped out as well in Victoria at least. Macedon, Aireys inlet and Lorne, plus smaller places like Bullangarook and Trentham.. 130,000 firefighters were fighting the fire at the same time. However that was in peak fire season in Victoria February, and we haven't got there yet. Plus the above was only in two states. Having said that Melbourne itself was more badly affected back in 1983. Burning verges on the fringes of the outlying housing estates in places like Melton and the Outer East.

Black Friday 1939 was worse than Ash Wednesday. 2 million hectares and 71 dead.

One thing that is better about this current fire thankfully, a much lower death toll. It is far more widespread though affecting all of Australia.






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Old Jan 8th 2020, 10:41 am
  #272  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by Pollyana
I can assure you this year is NOT normal. This is by far the worst year on record, that fact is discussed daily in the many briefings taking place within State Fire Service. Loss of ife is less than i previous events, but overall property loss and burnt ground is far greater and the conditions are considered unprecedented.
How do you figure that?

This event is completely normal:- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bushfires_in_Australia
Perhaps by 'normal' you mean this doesn't happen most years. In which case I would agree that this type of event is not an annual occurrence.
But if you mean that this event doesn't happen every decade or so, then reflect on the historical data and decide if that's the really case.
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 10:57 am
  #273  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by mikelincs
But this year everything is so much worse that ever before, exacerbated by the incredibly high temperatures and the very long drought. Despite what some people, ie Scott Morrison, have said this IS due to global warming, nearly every country in the world has had record temperatures, the UK included, December has been so warm, and January has started the same way. There is NO quick fix, but governments do have to take the issue of climate change very seriously, but with people like Morrison and Trump denying it then there is little likelihood of things improving.
Not sure about this claim. I'd need a bit more quantitative data AND background of the methodology before deciding if indeed the "climate" is changing permanently (whatever that means - up, down, wetter, hotter, etc), AND if this is a bad thing (e.g. more bushfires).
From what I've understood from a leading panel of climate experts (NOT including that TV pop scientist Brian Cox) is that they agree that climate science is generally poorly understood. We just don't know! (I'll have to dig out that link)
Bear in mind that science is NOT truth; its a methodology for understanding natural law through hypothesis and measurement.
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 11:12 am
  #274  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by rabble_rouser
Not sure about this claim. I'd need a bit more quantitative data AND background of the methodology before deciding if indeed the "climate" is changing permanently (whatever that means - up, down, wetter, hotter, etc), AND if this is a bad thing (e.g. more bushfires).
From what I've understood from a leading panel of climate experts (NOT including that TV pop scientist Brian Cox) is that they agree that climate science is generally poorly understood. We just don't know! (I'll have to dig out that link)
Bear in mind that science is NOT truth; its a methodology for understanding natural law through hypothesis and measurement.
The main issue will always be the human. As you say, wild fires have always happened but now they affect more humans (unfortunately also animals) and so far humans have managed to control them. Apart from some crazy people starting fires, the main issue is that the people are creating more fuel for the fires. You just have to look at the population and more people means less water for trees and plants. Forests rely on rivers and streams, so we keep pumping out water which means the natural fire stopper is gone.
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 11:16 am
  #275  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by Moses2013
The main issue will always be the human. As you say, wild fires have always happened but now they affect more humans (unfortunately also animals) and so far humans have managed to control them. Apart from some crazy people starting fires, the main issue is that the people are creating more fuel for the fires. You just have to look at the population and more people means less water for trees and plants. Forests rely on rivers and streams, so we keep pumping out water which means the natural fire stopper is gone.
I said ...what? 'As you say, wild fires have always happened but now they affect more humans ' no, I never said this.
What is this table showing?
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 11:18 am
  #276  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by rabble_rouser
I said ...what? 'As you say, wild fires have always happened but now they affect more humans ' no, I never said this.
What is this table showing?
As you say, wild fires have always happened. Please read: I was just pointing out that trees rely on groundwater and that stops fires naturally. The population has also increased and the people consume more water, so the trees are like fuel causing fires to get worse. Because the ground water levels are so low, streams and natural water ways can't stop the fire. Apart from natural droughts that always happened, ground water pumping fuels the fires.

Last edited by Moses2013; Jan 8th 2020 at 11:39 am.
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 12:16 pm
  #277  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Fires are often worse in Australia because of all the eucalypts, which are highly inflammable due to the oil they have, so they spread quicker and are more difficult to extinguish.
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 12:52 pm
  #278  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by mikelincs
But this year everything is so much worse that ever before, exacerbated by the incredibly high temperatures and the very long drought. Despite what some people, ie Scott Morrison, have said this IS due to global warming, nearly every country in the world has had record temperatures, the UK included, December has been so warm, and January has started the same way. There is NO quick fix, but governments do have to take the issue of climate change very seriously, but with people like Morrison and Trump denying it then there is little likelihood of things improving.
Eh? I have been in the UK for the past month and it's been bloody cold and bloody wet. Default miserable settings for Dec / Jan.

It amazes me how the truth gets a little twisted when pushing a green agenda.

Nothing wrong with using cleaner, alternate fuels, but it needs to make financial sense first and foremost. Telling Morrison and Co to ditch their coal selling tomorrow because of a few beat up truths is outrageous. Morrison and Co are in the business of making money, as they rightly should be. Yes, coal MAY drift away in its use over time, and it's Morrison and Co's job to find the alternate way of making money, or the job of the next guys more likely as these things take time to change. India, China, etc isn't going to be able to switch off their use of fossil fuels tomorrow.

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Old Jan 8th 2020, 12:59 pm
  #279  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by mikelincs
But this year everything is so much worse that ever before, exacerbated by the incredibly high temperatures and the very long drought. Despite what some people, ie Scott Morrison, have said this IS due to global warming, nearly every country in the world has had record temperatures, the UK included, December has been so warm, and January has started the same way. There is NO quick fix, but governments do have to take the issue of climate change very seriously, but with people like Morrison and Trump denying it then there is little likelihood of things improving.
Yes ,blame your P.M. and of course Trump. Slightly surprised Trump wasn't the only one blamed!!! Anyway don't you think the 180-200 people arrested for starting fires has got something to do with it, Firemen amongst them would you believe?
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 1:18 pm
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by KJMW
Yes ,blame your P.M. and of course Trump. Slightly surprised Trump wasn't the only one blamed!!! Anyway don't you think the 180-200 people arrested for starting fires has got something to do with it, Firemen amongst them would you believe?
How many of the 24 people arrested for starting fires this season were firemen?
https://www.theguardian.com/australi...n-false-claims
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 1:23 pm
  #281  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by caretaker
How many of the 24 people arrested for starting fires this season were firemen?
https://www.theguardian.com/australi...n-false-claims
An update on this story https://www.theguardian.com/australi...lian-bushfires
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 2:12 pm
  #282  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by spouse of scouse
Got to love the Guardian. It makes Big no "NO ARSONIST" statement in its first paragraph then goes on to condradict itself.

The Guardian is such a rubbish rag. Bottom of the pile rhetoric.
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 6:52 pm
  #283  
 
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Default Re: Australia's burning

I thought there was an agreement to leave political squabbles off this thread.
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Old Jan 8th 2020, 7:01 pm
  #284  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Originally Posted by rabble_rouser
I said ...what? 'As you say, wild fires have always happened but now they affect more humans ' no, I never said this.
What is this table showing?

Population growth..

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Old Jan 8th 2020, 7:18 pm
  #285  
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Default Re: Australia's burning

Looks like the Monsoon at the top of the country is starting to establish itself, so with a bit of luck, that "Should" send moisture over the whole of the country over the next 3 or 4 weeks. Hopefully, we have seen the worst of the fires. Because with what has happened further North it looked ominous for the Great Ocean Road, Grampian and Otway areas of Victoria and the Tasmanian wilderness. They will flair up again this weekend, but that could be the lot for the season with that Monsoon happening. Fingers crossed.

When Melbourne gets affected by smoke, it's usually from Tasmanian fires.





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