British Expats

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-   Australia (https://britishexpats.com/forum/australia-54/)
-   -   Recession (https://britishexpats.com/forum/australia-54/recession-758012/)

Luthien May 14th 2012 10:21 am

Re: Recession
 
Europe is the big worry. Strap your seatbelts on. I think the next 12 months will be a doozy.

Australia is one of the strongest economies in the world but events beyond our control in Europe will affect us. selfishly I am very glad to be here, but I take no pleasure in the state of European economies.

DC10 May 14th 2012 11:01 pm

Re: Recession
 
Be careful about subscribing to the "Eurozone is doomed" theory. Data out today shows France hanging in there (ie. not in recession) and Germany still roaring ahead. Even the Eurozone as a whole is not yet in recession.

But if you believe the Tories it's the Eurozone dragging the UK down :huh:

Blighty has plenty of problems (and debt) of its own without needing to look across the Channel

BadgeIsBack May 14th 2012 11:32 pm

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by DC10 (Post 10061537)
Be careful about subscribing to the "Eurozone is doomed" theory. Data out today shows France hanging in there (ie. not in recession) and Germany still roaring ahead. Even the Eurozone as a whole is not yet in recession.

But if you believe the Tories it's the Eurozone dragging the UK down :huh:

Blighty has plenty of problems (and debt) of its own without needing to look across the Channel

Looks like the UK was right to stay out of the Euro.

RedDragon2008 May 15th 2012 12:10 am

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by Luthien (Post 10060423)
Europe is the big worry. Strap your seatbelts on. I think the next 12 months will be a doozy.

Australia is one of the strongest economies in the world but events beyond our control in Europe will affect us. selfishly I am very glad to be here, but I take no pleasure in the state of European economies.

Wait and see when the OZ dollar is .60 to the US $:sneaky:


just saying ......

commonwealth May 15th 2012 12:24 am

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by RedDragon2008 (Post 10061678)
Wait and see when the OZ dollar is .60 to the US $:sneaky:


just saying ......

isnt that what the exporters are hoping for?

(FYI the average rate in the past decade or so was 70-80 US cents)

RedDragon2008 May 15th 2012 12:29 am

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by commonwealth (Post 10061713)
isnt that what the exporters are hoping for?

(FYI the average rate in the past decade or so was 70-80 US cents)

When the pound was 2.20 I predicted 1.5 and got same response.

Lets see in 9 to 12 months:D

commonwealth May 15th 2012 12:39 am

Re: Recession
 
not good for o/s travelers and online shoppers but could be good for local industries.

GarryP May 15th 2012 12:51 am

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by DC10 (Post 10061537)
Be careful about subscribing to the "Eurozone is doomed" theory. Data out today shows France hanging in there (ie. not in recession) and Germany still roaring ahead. Even the Eurozone as a whole is not yet in recession.

France is considered to be doomed because they have lent so much to Spain, Italy, etc.

When Greece goes down, the other PIIGS are in the direct firing line, and with them France as the paymaster.

Kicking Germany out of the Euro for six months, and redirecting QE money to new exporting business creation, seems to be the best route out for the EU.

zaratino May 15th 2012 3:02 am

Re: Recession
 
Europe is collapsing very soon, and now my country wants to be a part of it. What idiots of politics we have in past 20 years. I don´t think AU is in recession, as the matter of fact, I wanna immigrate downunder since childhood.

Luthien May 15th 2012 9:41 am

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by RedDragon2008 (Post 10061678)
Wait and see when the OZ dollar is .60 to the US $:sneaky:


just saying ......


I'd cope ;)

Amazulu May 15th 2012 2:35 pm

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by RedDragon2008 (Post 10061678)
Wait and see when the OZ dollar is .60 to the US $:sneaky:


just saying ......

It's been there before - and worse.

We'll manage.

DC10 May 15th 2012 10:58 pm

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by Amazulu (Post 10063219)
It's been there before - and worse.

We'll manage.

I think I remember sub-50 cents about 11 years ago? Bizarre to think it. And most of us will feel like we've taken a massive pay cut if it comes to that

fish.01 May 16th 2012 12:14 am

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by DC10 (Post 10063930)
I think I remember sub-50 cents about 11 years ago? Bizarre to think it. And most of us will feel like we've taken a massive pay cut if it comes to that

And it was 60c 3.5 years ago...

commonwealth May 16th 2012 12:25 am

Re: Recession
 

Originally Posted by fish.01 (Post 10064046)
And it was 60c 3.5 years ago...

gosh i remember converting my USDs into AUDs that time! :D

if that happens again, the exporters will be very happy :thumbsup:

chris955 May 16th 2012 6:15 am

Re: Recession
 
The problem is its only mining that really exports anything, the high dollar decimated what was left of manufacturing.


Originally Posted by commonwealth (Post 10064065)
gosh i remember converting my USDs into AUDs that
time! :D

if that happens again, the exporters will be very happy :thumbsup:



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