The Great Australian Housing Bubble
#46
Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
I see you have further detail late on regarding your transactions. You say (imply) that you have equity of ~$128,500. If you put this money in a demand deposit account you would earn ~$148 per week before tax in interest. Therefore by having that equity tied up in the property you have an opportunity cost of ~$148 on the deposit interest you forego. Therefore you are actually paying closer to $400 per week for your property than the ~$250 per week you quoted.
#47
Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
That's just simply not true. Negative equity places you at a huge disadvantage to your peers who are not in the same situation. Your disposable income is seriously affected. It also traps you so your bargaining power for work among other things is seriously affected. Given that housing crashes are detrimental to the wider economy this is a major issue. I have many many friends who are trapped in negative equity and it's no bed of roses like you make out. It's not just the young who would like to get out of dodge when the brown stuff hits the fan. As for "paying off the mortgage of some prick" I'll be sending my landlord a nice christmas card this year for his generous subsidy of my lifestyle, if he's a bit slow to fix things I'll be understanding because at the end of the day he's losing money hand over fist to keep me.
#48
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Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
~$150 of his ~$250 mortgage payment is interest. Effectively his rent at the moment is ~$300 and his "savings/investment" is ~$100.
#49
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Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
As opposed to paying for bankers boozy lunches and bumper bonuses?
#50
Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
I see you have further detail late on regarding your transactions. You say (imply) that you have equity of ~$128,500. If you put this money in a demand deposit account you would earn ~$148 per week before tax in interest. Therefore by having that equity tied up in the property you have an opportunity cost of ~$148 on the deposit interest you forego. Therefore you are actually paying closer to $400 per week for your property than the ~$250 per week you quoted.
All you've done is to speculate about what I could be earning through an alternative investment, and pretending that by forgoing these potential earnings I am somehow paying more than I really am. This is pure semantics, and does not reflect my actual outgoings.
In any case, if I withdrew that equity, my mortgage would rise and I would be paying even more than I am now. So I don't see how I'd be any better off.
Further down the track, I would like to sell out UK property and whack the profit into a mortgage offset account to reduce our weekly payments. However, we will need to wait until the British market recovers.
#51
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Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
The markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.... or married....
#52
Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
In other words, I am paying $250 per week, but I could be earning interest on the money that is tied up in my equity. That's very true. However, this is not the same as "paying closer to $400 a week" for my property. I am still only paying $250 a week. That is what I am literally paying. I am not paying "closer to $400 a week."
All you've done is to speculate about what I could be earning through an alternative investment, and pretending that by forgoing these potential earnings I am somehow paying more than I really am. This is pure semantics, and does not reflect my actual outgoings.
In any case, if I withdrew that equity, my mortgage would rise and I would be paying even more than I am now. So I don't see how I'd be any better off.
Further down the track, I would like to sell out UK property and whack the profit into a mortgage offset account to reduce our weekly payments. However, we will need to wait until the British market recovers.
All you've done is to speculate about what I could be earning through an alternative investment, and pretending that by forgoing these potential earnings I am somehow paying more than I really am. This is pure semantics, and does not reflect my actual outgoings.
In any case, if I withdrew that equity, my mortgage would rise and I would be paying even more than I am now. So I don't see how I'd be any better off.
Further down the track, I would like to sell out UK property and whack the profit into a mortgage offset account to reduce our weekly payments. However, we will need to wait until the British market recovers.
#53
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Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
All you've done is to speculate about what I could be earning through an alternative investment, and pretending that by forgoing these potential earnings I am somehow paying more than I really am. This is pure semantics, and does not reflect my actual outgoings.
#54
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Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
You can't compare Ireland or the US, Spain or any of the other recent big housing busts to Australia's. They are completely different and were a result of massive over supply and lax lending. Here the planning and land release is set to always try and maintain more demand than supply, and it's always been quite hard to get a mortgage, aside from homestart's 100% loans a couple of years ago that is. No more of them, 20% min or you pay insurance to the bank. Only unemployment will trigger a bust here, almost forgot to add the negative gearing chestnut that adds another dimension to things here.
The markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.... or married....
The markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.... or married....
#55
Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
Just because it doesn't change your cash position doesn't mean it's not a cost. You talk about 'recovery' in the UK market like it's a given fact too. No offence, but people are often irrational when it comes to property. The heart rules the head. If it were a business they would be a lot more cold and analytical.
#56
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Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
Well the housing market is different here whether you like it or not, like the UK too. They haven't had much of a bust yet either, although that could change with all the unemployment coming.
#57
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Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
If the renter also saves $100 a month then they are in the same position except the renter does not have the positive/negative risk of property market fluctuations.
#58
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Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
All housing markets are different. It doesn't take a particular type of market to have a bubble. All of the above mentioned bubbles had different features.
#59
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Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
Vash does bring up a good point. For example, if he were renting and collecting your 150 eveyr week from interest, he is 150 per weke better off, but you would have to calculate how much he is losing by renting instead of working towards ownership of an asset which could be worth whatever in the future - plus he could let it out and benefit that way as well.
He is paying ~$300 for his housing utility. ~$150 opportunity cost on capital employed and ~$150 in mortgage interest. This money contributes nothing towards owning the asset. Only ~$100 of his mortgage payment is contributing to owning the asset.
If rents the property out then he does not get housing utility from it. He has to live somewhere else. That is an extra cost.
#60
Forum Regular
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 178
Re: The Great Australian Housing Bubble
some people just prefer to have the security of owning their own home and affording to do so. they also (theoretically) get an assett to sell off in later life should they wish to, kind of pension i suppose.
markets go up and down, if you own a home you take that on the chin i suppose; unless you bought at peak time and are in negative equity - even the phrase negative equity shits some people - but as stated if you're hgappy where you are for thenext 25yrs it shouldnt really bother you too much.
markets go up and down, if you own a home you take that on the chin i suppose; unless you bought at peak time and are in negative equity - even the phrase negative equity shits some people - but as stated if you're hgappy where you are for thenext 25yrs it shouldnt really bother you too much.