Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
#16
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
True, but when Peter Beattie started praying for rain, the writing was on the wall - he left it too late to start building anyway...SE Qld was very lucky.
#17
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
I think we can always rely on our summer storms to come back to us like an old friend The flood indicators on the side of the regatta hotel make you wonder how lack of water could ever really be an issue here
#18
221b Baker Street
Joined: Jun 2010
Location: Miles from anywhere, Victoria, Australia.
Posts: 14,125
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
With regard to water supply, which is, IMHO, the biggest factor in all this, there are many facets (or is that faucets) to consider.
I am told that sufficient water falls on the populated area of Sydney to meet its needs but insufficient water falls in the actual catchment areas.
There is still not enough disincentive to use water. Here in my little corner, the service charge for water is high but the metered rate is low. So even if you have rain water tanks and use them, you still get hammered by the service charge.
Catch 22 is that until there are enough people paying tax, the infrastructure won't be built. Without the infrastructure, water supply may fail.
The official population of Melbourne is about 4 million. It is considered in some quarters to be actually 4.5 million.
It'll be a sad day when Geelong and Melbourne become the same place.
Someone here stated quite correctly that Australians like their space. However, if left to people already living here to increase the population, it will only grow very slowly, if history is anything to go by. Some increase in population is necessary to sustain demand in a western style economy and to provide for pension income. Without population increase there will be an inverted triangle with retirees outnumbering those in work. This implies that some immigration is going to have to happen. I dont wish to be rude but a lot of those immigrants will be prepared to live in humbler surroundings.
There is no federal approach to the water problem. My $900.00 rebate from the water company for putting in another tank was very nice but it won't exactly stop Adelaide from running dry.
As well as the catchments in Sydney not being sufficient, water in the top end is allowed to just run off in the wet season, when it does rain a lot in South Australia, excess water just runs over the cliffs into the sea.
Personally, being very selfish, I don't want to see a huge increase in population but the fact is, there is sufficient rainfall over Australia to support a higher population if the water were to be managed properly.
Lastly, as no one has mentioned it (before I started typing anyway) the middle east / arabia has done very nicely out of desalination plants (paid for from oil revenue) - maybe the resources taxes could be funnelled into doing something about water supply Unlikely........
I am told that sufficient water falls on the populated area of Sydney to meet its needs but insufficient water falls in the actual catchment areas.
There is still not enough disincentive to use water. Here in my little corner, the service charge for water is high but the metered rate is low. So even if you have rain water tanks and use them, you still get hammered by the service charge.
Catch 22 is that until there are enough people paying tax, the infrastructure won't be built. Without the infrastructure, water supply may fail.
The official population of Melbourne is about 4 million. It is considered in some quarters to be actually 4.5 million.
It'll be a sad day when Geelong and Melbourne become the same place.
Someone here stated quite correctly that Australians like their space. However, if left to people already living here to increase the population, it will only grow very slowly, if history is anything to go by. Some increase in population is necessary to sustain demand in a western style economy and to provide for pension income. Without population increase there will be an inverted triangle with retirees outnumbering those in work. This implies that some immigration is going to have to happen. I dont wish to be rude but a lot of those immigrants will be prepared to live in humbler surroundings.
There is no federal approach to the water problem. My $900.00 rebate from the water company for putting in another tank was very nice but it won't exactly stop Adelaide from running dry.
As well as the catchments in Sydney not being sufficient, water in the top end is allowed to just run off in the wet season, when it does rain a lot in South Australia, excess water just runs over the cliffs into the sea.
Personally, being very selfish, I don't want to see a huge increase in population but the fact is, there is sufficient rainfall over Australia to support a higher population if the water were to be managed properly.
Lastly, as no one has mentioned it (before I started typing anyway) the middle east / arabia has done very nicely out of desalination plants (paid for from oil revenue) - maybe the resources taxes could be funnelled into doing something about water supply Unlikely........
#19
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
There is also the Climate change problem, no one can be sure how it will affect the rainfall, and probable rise in the sea level.
#20
Forum Regular
Joined: Dec 2005
Location: Newcastle - Melbourne
Posts: 205
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
Melbourne could easily become a city of 7 million how:
Look at the land area for starters Melbournes urban footprint is bigger than Londons with half the population~ The reason, no density outside of the CBD, with traditional plot housing spreading out through the suburbs
Melbourne could grow quite easliy providing its planned correctly by the state and federal gov'ts! Of which they are now accepting is the only acceptable solution
By
1. Building up alreday established areas within the metro area where infrastructure exists! Especially around existing transport~
That means allowing controlled density....Just like any other major city in the world
2. Not continuing the urban sprawal of crap houses in areas with no infrastructre!
Look at the land area for starters Melbournes urban footprint is bigger than Londons with half the population~ The reason, no density outside of the CBD, with traditional plot housing spreading out through the suburbs
Melbourne could grow quite easliy providing its planned correctly by the state and federal gov'ts! Of which they are now accepting is the only acceptable solution
By
1. Building up alreday established areas within the metro area where infrastructure exists! Especially around existing transport~
That means allowing controlled density....Just like any other major city in the world
2. Not continuing the urban sprawal of crap houses in areas with no infrastructre!
#21
Account Closed
Thread Starter
Joined: Jun 2007
Posts: 383
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
30 years is a long time and anything can happen. Most probably the emphasis of the world economy will have shifted permanently in the Asia-Pacific region and even countries of the region which today are poor by any standards such as Vietnam or Indonesia will be prosperous countries in 30 years time. Cities like Sydney and Melbourne will be in a pivotal role in the future so perhaps the idea of both cities having more than 7m people by the time is not as unrealistic after all. However, as the combined population of both cities is curretly 1/3 of the population of all of Australia, they must grow much faster than the population of Australia as a whole because I doubt it that in 30 years time the population of Australia is going to be 45m.
Last edited by THR; Jul 18th 2010 at 5:44 pm.
#22
Guest
Posts: n/a
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
The desert areas are shrinking, while the green areas, around the deserts, are increasing, due to the increase in water, following climate change.
#23
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
Considering the distance of Melbourne and Sydney from major markets of Europe and North America it doesn't seem a feasible and worthful option for everybody including all financial giants/big industries of world that they should consider trade in/out of Australia. Canada is a big competitor of Australia when takes capturing international business and taking migrants in.The Canada takes the huge advantage of its suitable position between North America,UK and Europe. Moreover, Australia doesn't have any research facilities, good government funding and normally follows all research coming out from Europe or North America.
Then there is this Organisation....
CSIRO, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, is Australia's national science agency and one of the largest and most diverse research agencies in the world.
http://www.csiro.au/
Last edited by ozzieeagle; Jul 19th 2010 at 4:55 am.
#24
Account Closed
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 14,188
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
Considering the distance of Melbourne and Sydney from major markets of Europe and North America it doesn't seem a feasible and worthful option for everybody including all financial giants/big industries of world that they should consider trade in/out of Australia. Canada is a big competitor of Australia when takes capturing international business and taking migrants in.The Canada takes the huge advantage of its suitable position between North America,UK and Europe. Moreover, Australia doesn't have any research facilities, good government funding and normally follows all research coming out from Europe or North America.
Not very scientific but could be interesting.
#25
Guest
Posts: n/a
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
Canada gets about 7,000 British migrants each year
Australia gets about 21,000 British migrants each year
Some details:
In 2006, Canada received 236,756 immigrants.
The top twelve source countries were
28,896 China
28,520 India
19,718 Philippines
9,808 Pakistan
8,750 United States
7,324 United Kingdom
7,195 Iran
5,909 South Korea
5,382 Colombia
4,068 Sri Lanka
4,026 France
4,025 Morocco
In 2007/08 Australia received 158,021 immigrants
The top twelve source countries were
25,578 New Zealand
21,545 United Kingdom
17,283 India
15,803 China
7,201 South Africa
5,942 Philippines
4,130 Iraq
4,078 Sri Lanka
3,324 Malaysia
2,898 Vietnam
2,805 Korea
2,559 Thailand
#26
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 371
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
Canada does have a larger total migration intake, maybe a less strict immigration regime than Australia ?
Canada gets about 7,000 British migrants each year
Australia gets about 21,000 British migrants each year
Some details:
In 2006, Canada received 236,756 immigrants.
The top twelve source countries were
28,896 China
28,520 India
19,718 Philippines
9,808 Pakistan
8,750 United States
7,324 United Kingdom
7,195 Iran
5,909 South Korea
5,382 Colombia
4,068 Sri Lanka
4,026 France
4,025 Morocco
In 2007/08 Australia received 158,021 immigrants
The top twelve source countries were
25,578 New Zealand
21,545 United Kingdom
17,283 India
15,803 China
7,201 South Africa
5,942 Philippines
4,130 Iraq
4,078 Sri Lanka
3,324 Malaysia
2,898 Vietnam
2,805 Korea
2,559 Thailand
Canada gets about 7,000 British migrants each year
Australia gets about 21,000 British migrants each year
Some details:
In 2006, Canada received 236,756 immigrants.
The top twelve source countries were
28,896 China
28,520 India
19,718 Philippines
9,808 Pakistan
8,750 United States
7,324 United Kingdom
7,195 Iran
5,909 South Korea
5,382 Colombia
4,068 Sri Lanka
4,026 France
4,025 Morocco
In 2007/08 Australia received 158,021 immigrants
The top twelve source countries were
25,578 New Zealand
21,545 United Kingdom
17,283 India
15,803 China
7,201 South Africa
5,942 Philippines
4,130 Iraq
4,078 Sri Lanka
3,324 Malaysia
2,898 Vietnam
2,805 Korea
2,559 Thailand
#27
Guest
Posts: n/a
Re: Can Sydney and Melbourne really become huge cities?
- 63,389 Onshore
- 107,929 Offshore
Where did you find the 2007-08 to total up to 208,000 ? I haven't been able to locate a split for that year.
But if correct, offshore immigration is dropping, by a big number, about 50,000. !
2007 158,021
2008 107,929