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Is Australia going to the dogs?

Is Australia going to the dogs?

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Old Jul 10th 2005, 11:27 am
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Default Is Australia going to the dogs?

Although Oz seems to have fewer social problems than the UK (at present), I am less optimistic about its long-term economic prospects. This article here => http://crikey.com.au/articles/2005/06/20-1622-9669.html gives a pretty good analysis of the issues. The newspapers and politicians in Oz always talk up Oz success, but the reality is that Oz business is globally speaking a lightweight. The one medium-term growth area is mineral exports from WA to China, which will be massive: however, this is a low added-value primary producer role open to substitution. Could Oz end up like NZ, a end-of-the line nowhere branch economy?
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 11:29 am
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

only now that im here
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 11:36 am
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Storini
The one medium-term growth area is mineral exports from WA to China
It's not just to China.

It is a real shame but Aus is exporting it's wealth in the form of all the crude metals and minerals it is extracting.

The real wealth in these natural resources lies in the sale of the processed materials.

They are basically digging up the country and shovelling it into ships and selling it at low cost.
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 11:43 am
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Bix
It's not just to China.

It is a real shame but Aus is exporting it's wealth in the form of all the crude metals and minerals it is extracting.

The real wealth in these natural resources lies in the sale of the processed materials.

They are basically digging up the country and shovelling it into ships and selling it at low cost.
And who's doing the ship shovelling I ask myself
 
Old Jul 10th 2005, 11:56 am
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Storini
Although Oz seems to have fewer social problems than the UK (at present), I am less optimistic about its long-term economic prospects. This article here => http://crikey.com.au/articles/2005/06/20-1622-9669.html gives a pretty good analysis of the issues. The newspapers and politicians in Oz always talk up Oz success, but the reality is that Oz business is globally speaking a lightweight. The one medium-term growth area is mineral exports from WA to China, which will be massive: however, this is a low added-value primary producer role open to substitution. Could Oz end up like NZ, a end-of-the line nowhere branch economy?
NO ...........mm
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 12:02 pm
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Phoenixuk2oz
And who's doing the ship shovelling I ask myself
Where you bin ?

It's been soooooo quiet

I'm exporting processed goods I'll have you know. Value added stuff
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 12:07 pm
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Bix
Where you bin ?

It's been soooooo quiet

I'm exporting processed goods I'll have you know. Value added stuff
Busy ship shovellin

Hows it goin Bixy? Missed anythin
 
Old Jul 10th 2005, 12:12 pm
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Phoenixuk2oz
Busy ship shovellin

Hows it goin Bixy? Missed anythin
Going well ta.

Erm.......lots of people got visas (even that shifty WMoore character)

Erm.......Soapy and Scossie still talking pish.

Erm.......You'll have to do a search.
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 12:17 pm
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Bix
It's not just to China.

It is a real shame but Aus is exporting it's wealth in the form of all the crude metals and minerals it is extracting.

The real wealth in these natural resources lies in the sale of the processed materials.

They are basically digging up the country and shovelling it into ships and selling it at low cost.
Be specific BIX ,iron ore, lpg, may be All copper from the Olympic Dam mine is smelted and processed on site, the copper pacs [3tonnes] are sent all over the world at a premium...................... mm
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 1:00 pm
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by mr mover
Be specific BIX ,iron ore, lpg, may be All copper from the Olympic Dam mine is smelted and processed on site, the copper pacs [3tonnes] are sent all over the world at a premium...................... mm
The point I am getting to is there is not enough manufacturing in Aus to take advantage of the rich minerals here.

Okay an example.
Queensland exported 13.6 million tons of bauxite but only 3.1 million tons of the processed alumina / aluminium. It's roughly 2 tons of crude to make 1 ton of processed so in effect 2 thirds are being exported in the crude state. The money is in the processed product not the crude.
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 1:41 pm
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

No cause Britain beat ya too it!

M
 
Old Jul 10th 2005, 2:51 pm
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Bix
The point I am getting to is there is not enough manufacturing in Aus to take advantage of the rich minerals here.

Okay an example.
Queensland exported 13.6 million tons of bauxite but only 3.1 million tons of the processed alumina / aluminium. It's roughly 2 tons of crude to make 1 ton of processed so in effect 2 thirds are being exported in the crude state. The money is in the processed product not the crude.
Bauxite = gibbsite (Al(OH)3) + diaspore (AlO(OH)) + boehmite (AlO(OH)) + 30 to 50% impurities.

So aluminium metal content of bauxite ~= 0.5 * (27 / (27 + 3 * (16 + 1))) = 17.3%.

The aluminium metal content of alumina (Al2O3) = (2 * 27) / (2 * 27 + 3 * 16) = 52.9%.

To produce a tonne of aluminium metal requires about 5 tonnes of bauxite or 1.9 tonnes of alumina.

To produce 1 tonne of alumina requires ~3 tonnes of bauxite.

90% of bauxite mined in Aus is refined to alumina (Al2O3) in Aus, increasing the value by 10 times.

Energy efficiency best practice in the Australian aluminium industry

Last edited by Megalania; Jul 10th 2005 at 2:55 pm.
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 4:20 pm
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

The issue is not whether the aluminium is going out as bauxite or alumina, its why it's not going out as aeroplane wings, rockets, forgings, prefabricated structures, etc etc: i.e. truly high added-value items. When I hear the term "Made in Australia" what do I think of? Toy stuffed koalas and Akubra hats! Australia has good(ish) universities and technical education, so why hasn't it done as well as others like Korea for example? Here's another article about large companies dependency on government http://crikey.com.au/articles/2005/06/29-1539-590.html - cozy duopoly seems to suit all sides (except the punter who gets shafted).
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Old Jul 10th 2005, 10:52 pm
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Storini
The issue is not whether the aluminium is going out as bauxite or alumina, its why it's not going out as aeroplane wings, rockets, forgings, prefabricated structures, etc etc: i.e. truly high added-value items. When I hear the term "Made in Australia" what do I think of? Toy stuffed koalas and Akubra hats! Australia has good(ish) universities and technical education, so why hasn't it done as well as others like Korea for example? Here's another article about large companies dependency on government http://crikey.com.au/articles/2005/06/29-1539-590.html - cozy duopoly seems to suit all sides (except the punter who gets shafted).
Good luck competing with Asian manufacturers. Korea has no mineral wealth to speak of so has no choice in its exports but manufactured goods.

Britain still has considerable financial wealth, some oil but little mineral wealth and has "lost" its manufacturing to other parts of the world and now exports primarily financial services.
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Old Jul 11th 2005, 1:14 am
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Default Re: Is Australia going to the dogs?

Originally Posted by Storini
When I hear the term "Made in Australia" what do I think of? Toy stuffed koalas and Akubra hats!
Look more closely at the labels, you may find it says "Made in China" on many of them, especially the Koalas
 


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