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1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Old Jul 22nd 2010, 11:08 pm
  #2101  
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by asprilla
Ok mr "currency guru". what will the exchange rate be in one months time? (30th July 10:24am).

May the battle of the currency gurus commence.
Currently at 1.707.
Where will the ball be when the roulette wheel stops next Friday ?
Who will have nailed it ?
Good luck all
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Old Jul 23rd 2010, 12:40 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

All eyes on the European bank stress tests... if they go well, E will get a boost and the GBP will stay where it is... if they go bad, GBP might get a big boost...

US economy looking a little suspect right now (no jobs), so that could be next weeks story - jitters about the global economy leading to a flight from risk (GBPup AUDdown)...

UK economy is still very screwed however, so long-term picture there very bad. Likely a slightly better version of Ireland...

all IMHO obviously :-)
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Old Jul 23rd 2010, 9:52 am
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Wink Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

GDP figures just out---very large jump;far above what was anticipated.Construction highest for 50 years--given that this industry tends to be a leader for what is to come then my contention that the UK economy is in far better shape than the pundits will admit seems to be coming true.Also noticed that immediately figures out civil servants tried to talk them down---under orders to keep pound rate low????
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Old Jul 23rd 2010, 10:09 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by wilf70
GDP figures just out
UK economic growth jumps to 1.1%

The UK economy grew by a faster-than-expected 1.1% in the second quarter of the year, according to official data.

The figure - a preliminary estimate from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) - was almost double the 0.6% growth rate expected by economists.

It was also a marked pick-up in pace from the 0.3% growth of the first three months of the year.

Much of the growth came from the key services sector, which makes up about three-quarters of the UK economy.
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Old Jul 29th 2010, 11:21 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Back on June 30th there was the analysis...
Originally Posted by MrCro
Relative strength still on the increase for the £, look at charts when AUD was last at todays price against US$ then look at GBP vs US$ today, things are on the up!

1.78 is a resistance point so once that breaks then should jump into the 1.80's!

Lot's of key levels being broke at mo, DOW below 10,000 and when S&P goes sub 1000 then look out if you are holding A$'s and sill dreaming of 1.50 rate!
Prompting the challenge....
Originally Posted by asprilla
Ok mr "currency guru". what will the exchange rate be in one months time? (30th July 10:24am).

You like to give the impression that you know what you're talking about in your posts.... but I don't think you know any more than me, my mum, or my 2 year old son in this matter.

May the battle of the currency gurus commence.
....and the outcome, 1 month later ?
Let the chart do the talking !
Attached Thumbnails 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!-gbptoaus-exrate-1month-later.png  
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Old Jul 29th 2010, 11:37 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by DownUnderPaddy
Back on June 30th there was the analysis...


Prompting the challenge....


....and the outcome, 1 month later ?
Let the chart do the talking !
Looks like the dartboard won that one then!
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Old Jul 29th 2010, 11:51 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by DownUnderPaddy
...and the outcome, 1 month later ?
Let the chart do the talking !
not so fast...

Lets check the rates at 10:24am.


At 8:50am according to www.xe.com, it is 1.73168... come on......


At 10:09am according to www.xe.com, it is 1.7347...

Last edited by asprilla; Jul 30th 2010 at 1:09 am.
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Old Jul 30th 2010, 1:41 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by asprilla
not so fast...

Lets check the rates at 10:24am.
At 8:50am according to www.xe.com, it is 1.73168... come on......
At 10:09am according to www.xe.com, it is 1.7347...
and at 10.24 ?
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Old Jul 30th 2010, 1:51 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by DownUnderPaddy
and at 10.24 ?
I think you should all stop trying to guess, I hold the absolute answer to all of this.

You see, I've come to learn that the exchange goes heavily against me wherever I go in the world, when I came to Oz it dropped from 2.5 to 1.7, every time I'm ready to transfer my wages from the UK to OZ it drops a bit more. (Am still paid in the UK but live in Oz)

Every time I don't have to transfer the pound gets stronger.

I am the exchange rate influencer, forget the international markets or banks this, banks that... it's me and me alone.

So listen up exchange rate gamblers.... I am going to England next week, so my absolute guarantee to you all is that come Wednesday, and for the 2 weeks following the pound will get strong. After Wednesday the 18th of August when I return, it'll get weak again - just around the time I have to move wages.

This isn't guess work, it's a fact.

Last edited by jamo123; Jul 30th 2010 at 1:55 am.
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Old Jul 30th 2010, 2:15 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by jamo123
I think you should all stop trying to guess, I hold the absolute answer to all of this.

Every time I don't have to transfer the pound gets stronger.

I am the exchange rate influencer, forget the international markets or banks this, banks that... it's me and me alone.

This isn't guess work, it's a fact.
You are the GBP/AUD equivalent of Rob McKenna, The Rain God !
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_minor_The_Hitchhiker's_Guide_to_the_Galaxy _characters#Rob_McKenna
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Old Jul 30th 2010, 2:34 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by jamo123
I think you should all stop trying to guess, I hold the absolute answer to all of this.

You see, I've come to learn that the exchange goes heavily against me wherever I go in the world, when I came to Oz it dropped from 2.5 to 1.7, every time I'm ready to transfer my wages from the UK to OZ it drops a bit more. (Am still paid in the UK but live in Oz)

Every time I don't have to transfer the pound gets stronger.

I am the exchange rate influencer, forget the international markets or banks this, banks that... it's me and me alone.

So listen up exchange rate gamblers.... I am going to England next week, so my absolute guarantee to you all is that come Wednesday, and for the 2 weeks following the pound will get strong. After Wednesday the 18th of August when I return, it'll get weak again - just around the time I have to move wages.

This isn't guess work, it's a fact.
I do trade some currencies and note with some amusement that the GBP/AUD ticker has been going up since about 10am
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Old Jul 30th 2010, 5:55 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

I was only 10c out. That's not bad is it????

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Old Jul 30th 2010, 8:04 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

market not shut til 5pm NY time.

stocks have wobbled today but not enough for risk aversion to kick back in, that may come around again next week though!

£ doing well against US$, making me a few quid

But A$ up against yank$ too holding above 90cents hence no big move £ vs A$

Enjoy your weekend everybody, I'm off to what's looking like a very wet pommy barbie!
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Old Aug 2nd 2010, 12:36 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Decent outlook for sterling, if shaky

Meanwhile in UK the PMI Manufacturing data came in slightly better than forecast at 57.3 versus 57.1 remaining above the 57 level for the fifth straight month, Over the weekend a Goldman Sachs report suggested that UK economy could outperform both US and EZ in the next year and if that would be the case then the new austerity model of PM David Cameron which asserts that economic growth can coexist with fiscal tightening will be vindicated. Although growth in UK has undoubtedly been impressive we remain skeptical the pace can bu sustained. Fiscal cuts have yet to hit the economy, and when they do in the fall the impact on aggregate demand could be much more severe than the market believes. In the meantime sterling was able to take out the 1.5800 level and if US data proves supportive the unit could see 1.6000 by the end of the week as it continues to attract speculative flows.

http://www.fx360.com/commentary/bori...-data-key.aspx

Also http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2ac0d296-9...44feab49a.html

Am deeply considering investing in Sterling shortly. The AUD reports in the last few days are starting to show the cracks in the economy and chinese data shows slowing also starting there. The US economy is out for the count for the considerable time ahead.

Interesting times in the next few months.

Last edited by Centurion; Aug 2nd 2010 at 12:50 pm.
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Old Aug 3rd 2010, 5:55 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by jamo123
I think you should all stop trying to guess, I hold the absolute answer to all of this.

You see, I've come to learn that the exchange goes heavily against me wherever I go in the world, when I came to Oz it dropped from 2.5 to 1.7, every time I'm ready to transfer my wages from the UK to OZ it drops a bit more. (Am still paid in the UK but live in Oz)

Every time I don't have to transfer the pound gets stronger.

I am the exchange rate influencer, forget the international markets or banks this, banks that... it's me and me alone.

So listen up exchange rate gamblers.... I am going to England next week, so my absolute guarantee to you all is that come Wednesday, and for the 2 weeks following the pound will get strong. After Wednesday the 18th of August when I return, it'll get weak again - just around the time I have to move wages.

This isn't guess work, it's a fact.
Just to prove a point! :-) my flight leaves within 24 hours and look whats happening....

In just the last 24 hours our darling sterling has gone up to 1.746.
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