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1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Old Jun 3rd 2010, 8:25 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by MrCro
Here's an interesting read, A$ strengh vs US$ not looking good!

Looks good for £ going up abit against the aussie!

http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundame...US_Dollar.html

Interesting indeed, because a couple months ago the same people were predicting AUD-USD parity by the end of the year :-) As the article says, the relationship is basically tracking the stock market, which is now on a rollercoaster due to Euro debt issues. Market goes down, AUD goes down, USD benefits. Market goes up, risk appetite returns, AUD goes up.

The same conditions have a smaller upward effect on the GBP because the GBP is no longer the safe haven it once was and the UK economy is expected to perform poorly over next few years.
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Old Jun 3rd 2010, 9:45 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by littda01
Interesting indeed, because a couple months ago the same people were predicting AUD-USD parity by the end of the year :-) As the article says, the relationship is basically tracking the stock market, which is now on a rollercoaster due to Euro debt issues. Market goes down, AUD goes down, USD benefits. Market goes up, risk appetite returns, AUD goes up.

The same conditions have a smaller upward effect on the GBP because the GBP is no longer the safe haven it once was and the UK economy is expected to perform poorly over next few years.
Everyone was on the parity bandwagon and also saying pound would be down "where it belongs" at 1.50 to the aussie.

Looks like aussie parity to the kiwi dollar will be next!!!!

I think alot of carry trade big players were banking on parity, hence the big unwind! Mind you I think that would have been a major take profit position anyway so sure it would have only touched parity briefly follwed by a major unwind in positions as people took profits.

Last edited by MrCro; Jun 3rd 2010 at 9:48 am.
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 9:50 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

1.77 now!
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 10:40 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by paulry
1.77 now!
only anouther $1.00 to go
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 10:52 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by eugene43
only anouther $1.00 to go
nice thought, but 2 dollars to pound would do me
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 11:15 am
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Smile Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Will probably hit that by Sept[or end of year at latest].The carry trade is unwinding very fast--they've made their profits and are moving on to pastures new and the Oz dolar is a risk currency.Two factors in the equation are Cameron's warning speech today in Milton Keynes and the forthcoming budget.If they are honest and well received may arrive sooner or go higher.Just a couple of thoughts.
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 11:19 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

I've given up looking! Now all my money is over, yes you can expect the pound to go higher and of course if we ever have to go back to the UK we'll be stuffed again if it goes above 1.80!

I give up!
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 11:51 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by wilf70
The carry trade is unwinding very fast--they've made their profits and are moving on to pastures new
Do you really know what you're talking about?
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 11:54 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by wilf70
Will probably hit that by Sept[or end of year at latest].The carry trade is unwinding very fast--they've made their profits and are moving on to pastures new and the Oz dolar is a risk currency.Two factors in the equation are Cameron's warning speech today in Milton Keynes and the forthcoming budget.If they are honest and well received may arrive sooner or go higher.Just a couple of thoughts.

When I first heard the news that Cameron was going to address the nation about how much up poo creak we are I assumed the £ would get a kicking. Not doing so badly at the moment - don't know if it's because he is flagging up how serious he is about the drastic measures (gulps) he is going to take to get things under control. He is talking in terms of it affecting everyone for generations to come. Oh bugger!
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 12:01 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by Damson
When I first heard the news that Cameron was going to address the nation about how much up poo creak we are I assumed the £ would get a kicking. Not doing so badly at the moment - don't know if it's because he is flagging up how serious he is about the drastic measures (gulps) he is going to take to get things under control. He is talking in terms of it affecting everyone for generations to come. Oh bugger!
I'm watching the £ also........ kinda hoping it stays low so my AUD pays off my UK debt easier.
yeah, its worrying, i was hoping to save for 6 months then head out to oz, looks like i may need a rethink n have to head over earlier, because it's almost guaranteed that they will cut nurse's salary..., and believe me it's bad enough as it is, anyway I'm off to cancel my sky subscription, thats another £60 a month saved.
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 12:07 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by eugene43
only anouther $1.00 to go
Now that your Za-Nu Labour chums who bolloxed it up in the first place are out of the picture it might just be achievable again
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 12:13 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by paulry
1.77 now!
Onward and upward.
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 10:48 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Looking like another up day for GBPAUD. We've so far gained about 13c in a month, if the stock markets keep tanking expect the AUD to keep falling too.
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Old Jun 7th 2010, 11:52 pm
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by paulry
Now that your Za-Nu Labour chums who bolloxed it up in the first place are out of the picture it might just be achievable again
never liked labour new they would lose.
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Old Jun 8th 2010, 3:04 am
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Default Re: 1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!

Originally Posted by eugene43
never liked labour new they would lose.
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