1.93's A$ to the Pound!!!
#1501

As long as you don't plan on driving anywhere, you may be ok with £500. If you do plan on driving, just budget in that it costs approx. £25 in petrol to drive 100 miles over here. 
I'm not so sure that it has bottomed out yet. I still think 1.50 is a strong possibility. And that's from someone in the UK wanting it to shoot back up so I can change my £ to $.

I'm not so sure that it has bottomed out yet. I still think 1.50 is a strong possibility. And that's from someone in the UK wanting it to shoot back up so I can change my £ to $.

#1502

The Australian economy is heavily dependant on exporting raw materials to China, any trouble with the Chinese economy will have a big impact on Australias, and on the AUD.
There are several reasons to beleive trouble may be brewing in China
1) Possible trade war with the USA
2) Massive Chinese property bubble, and general inflation concerns
3) Pressure on China to revalue its currency
4) Possible "double dip" recession in the west (USA and Eurozone) which will hurt Chinese exports
5) Misreporting of Chinese financial statistics, alleged systemic corruption
Then just yesterday China daily reports China is likeley to run a trade deficit in March
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2...nt_9619515.htm
Of course none of the above may actually happen, but I take the forecasts of straight line economic growth for the next 10 years in Australia with a pinch of salt, and note with interest the fact that Australia has among the highest level of personal debt in the developed world.
There are several reasons to beleive trouble may be brewing in China
1) Possible trade war with the USA
2) Massive Chinese property bubble, and general inflation concerns
3) Pressure on China to revalue its currency
4) Possible "double dip" recession in the west (USA and Eurozone) which will hurt Chinese exports
5) Misreporting of Chinese financial statistics, alleged systemic corruption
Then just yesterday China daily reports China is likeley to run a trade deficit in March


http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2...nt_9619515.htm
Of course none of the above may actually happen, but I take the forecasts of straight line economic growth for the next 10 years in Australia with a pinch of salt, and note with interest the fact that Australia has among the highest level of personal debt in the developed world.
Last edited by freebo; Mar 23rd 2010 at 10:34 am.

#1503
Devil's Advocate







Joined: Feb 2008
Location: Mandurah
Posts: 2,269












i also think that you are right £500 won't last you long, it is not as cheap as you might think, i do giggle when people talk about chocolate at $2.50 and then $.99 cents in woolies, to buy uk £0.60p to£0.65p getting pricey here now, about a 1$ but that can change by the hour.


#1506


As that's about the only place in the UK where I don't use my cards. I even used my card for buying a 12p onion in Somerfields the other day. Cash is so last year. Unfortunately, the pub is the only place that won't accept cards, unless spending over £10.


#1507
BE Enthusiast





Joined: Sep 2008
Location: newbury
Posts: 943












set a tab up then.

#1512
Forum Regular



Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 181



Freebo's analysis is right on the ball[corrupt stats' etc]--the question is what will cause the downturn-China or the wests economic woes??

#1513

http://www.scribd.com/doc/28824145/G...te-Paper-China

#1514
Forum Regular



Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 181



freebo--thanks for above article;just off to read and consider it.Thanks;the whole economic scene at the moment really worries me;I see a new 1930's hovering just off stage

#1515
Forum Regular



Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 181



Freebo;thanks for pointer to article;very prescient--the question is;when will the manure hit the fan,rather than if it will.All the optimists[re this housing boom is different and we are in Australia away from your problems]should be forced to read this an then try to write an essay in refutation.Frankly I find our collective economic futures one of stark terror--which may[and I hope I'm wrong]be worse than the thirties and we have to go back much longer to get some 'feel' for the depths of the economic woes we are about to suffer[Germany under the Weimer??]Thanks
