SHOCK! general election June 8th
#16
Heading for Poppyland
Joined: Jul 2007
Location: North Norfolk and northern New York State
Posts: 14,540
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
Yeah that's what came to my mind as soon as I heard the news this morning. Huge gamble from the Prime Minister, since if the SNP do even better than last election, that's virtually a mandate for a referendum.
#17
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Jan 2006
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 12,865
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
In terms of a parliamentary majority, this isn't the slightest bit of a gamble. The current polls have the Conservatives on 43% and Labour on 25%. I can see this being a landslide of similar dimensions to Thatcher's against Foot in '83. Maybe that will be a good thing for Labour if it leads to Corbyn going. I see his current approval rating is 17%.
#18
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
UKIP?
I assume they won't do particularly well, since they are a one trick pony and their trick is now government policy and finished with ...? But they had a hefty vote in 2015, coming in second or third in many constituencies, so their vote tally (up or down a couple of thousand) could make a difference to the result in many of the constituencies.
I assume they won't do particularly well, since they are a one trick pony and their trick is now government policy and finished with ...? But they had a hefty vote in 2015, coming in second or third in many constituencies, so their vote tally (up or down a couple of thousand) could make a difference to the result in many of the constituencies.
Then again, there's been a lot of 'strange' electoral results recently...what are the odds on one more?
I do wonder if the general population will be any less dumb when the lies start flying around.
#19
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
Of course if the SNP don't do as well as they did last election then May will have a good excuse to stall/ignore requests for a new Scottish referendum.
#21
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
I could be wrong since I don't follow UK political news closely - but haven't Labour settled for a wishy-washy pro-brexit stance, in the hope of retaining their traditional voters many of whom are pro-brexit? In other words I can't see Labour joining a "pro-EU" popular front, whatever Tim Farron says...
I live in Alan Johnson's constituency - he's not seeking re-election so I have a vague hope that they parachute in David Milliband to stand so he can be a grown-up voice in the rebuilding of Labour after the inevitable tonking they are going to get. Otherwise potential leaders are thin on the ground - someone like Dan Jarvis maybe, but he's not got much of a national profile at the moment.
We desperately need a credible opposition to hold the government to account, otherwise the 1983 comparisons are spot on and we'll continue to have years of labour in-fighting while a rampant Tory government lays waste to what remains of the NHS and the welfare state while we're all distracted by Brexit and Trump/Korea/Syria. In 8-10 years time, we'll look around and ask WTF just happened?
#22
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Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 228
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
Its a savvy, bold move by her - & by contrast really highlights the inadequacies of the indecisive, clueless, dithering old fool currently leading the shambles that is the labour party. She has calculated (wisely imho) that labour under 'Jeremy' won't be able to mount any credible resistance & the tories will then be able to control parliament with a significant majority unopposed for the necessary time frame to push through brexit.
I am not pro Brexit (at all) but its obviously going to happen.
May has done the right thing in order to avoid the damaging chaos that dragging it out for years would have meant. So it's a good thing.
And I personally am relishing seeing 'Jezza' & Abbott et al utterly humiliated & kicked down the road. Hopefully this will finally cleanse the British body politic of the nauseating ex 60's Islington student radical types who are so prevalent & so toxic.
And if that happens, maybe the labour party can one day get back to representing the interests of working class British people.
But tbh I doubt that is going to happen.
I am not pro Brexit (at all) but its obviously going to happen.
May has done the right thing in order to avoid the damaging chaos that dragging it out for years would have meant. So it's a good thing.
And I personally am relishing seeing 'Jezza' & Abbott et al utterly humiliated & kicked down the road. Hopefully this will finally cleanse the British body politic of the nauseating ex 60's Islington student radical types who are so prevalent & so toxic.
And if that happens, maybe the labour party can one day get back to representing the interests of working class British people.
But tbh I doubt that is going to happen.
#23
Forum Regular
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 228
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
I could be wrong since I don't follow UK political news closely - but haven't Labour settled for a wishy-washy pro-brexit stance, in the hope of retaining their traditional voters many of whom are pro-brexit? In other words I can't see Labour joining a "pro-EU" popular front, whatever Tim Farron says...
So in other words, their posture re Brexit was as incoherent as everything else about them.
#24
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
It's typical , just as I'm about to visit the UK the exchange rate goes up
#25
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
Everyone seems to be forgetting the SNP and Plaid Cymru. The winners in this election could be the Tories and the other nationalist parties......I'm basically saying that the Tories are now a de facto English nationalist party and the SNP are the only coherent opposition.
PS. I just donated to the SNP and the LibDems.....LibDems got some money because I feel sorry for them, but they do have some principles I agree with and haven't caved to UKIP inclinations like Labour.
PS. I just donated to the SNP and the LibDems.....LibDems got some money because I feel sorry for them, but they do have some principles I agree with and haven't caved to UKIP inclinations like Labour.
Last edited by nun; Apr 19th 2017 at 4:29 pm.
#26
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
Well I see the majority of Labour MPs voted for the election on June 8th. Now that really is turkeys voting for Christmas.
#27
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Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 228
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
And that's now - let's see where it is after the sun, mail, express etc have spent 3 months covering their front page with full colour photographs of the clueless pro-ira muslim terrorist supporting half-wit looking ridiculous in his cycling shorts while his poisonous ex-lover Abbott labels every white person within earshot a racist
#28
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Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 37
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
And that's now - let's see where it is after the sun, mail, express etc have spent 3 months covering their front page with full colour photographs of the clueless pro-ira muslim terrorist supporting half-wit looking ridiculous in his cycling shorts while his poisonous ex-lover Abbott labels every white person within earshot a racist
Anyway, the more complacent Tory voters get about wining the lower your turnout will be and the better chance we have of finally getting a Labour PM that is aligned with the party's traditional values.
#29
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Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 228
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
Ooh, is this the thin line between disgust and desire? You secretly can't wait for all those full page colour photos of Jeremy in his tight cycling shorts.
Anyway, the more complacent Tory voters get about wining the lower your turnout will be and the better chance we have of finally getting a Labour PM that is aligned with the party's traditional values.
Anyway, the more complacent Tory voters get about wining the lower your turnout will be and the better chance we have of finally getting a Labour PM that is aligned with the party's traditional values.
As for tory complacency - like most sensible people (including a majority of the less deranged labour supporters) I think the opposite will happen. Corbyn (in keeping with his career long record of general uselessness) will serve to galvanise and motivate people to get out and vote - against him.
Why do you think May is calling an election now ? Because, like any reasonably smart political operator (i.e. the exact polar opposite of clueless comrade corbyn) she can smell the blood in the water and is taking the opportunity to destroy the labour shambles when they are at their weakest.
And a majority of honest labour supporters agree.
#30
Heading for Poppyland
Joined: Jul 2007
Location: North Norfolk and northern New York State
Posts: 14,540
Re: SHOCK! general election June 8th
Ha- yes absolutely - I am positively moist with lust at the thought of Jeremy Corbyn's puny white chicken legs.
As for tory complacency - like most sensible people (including a majority of the less deranged labour supporters) I think the opposite will happen. Corbyn (in keeping with his career long record of general uselessness) will serve to galvanise and motivate people to get out and vote - against him.
Why do you think May is calling an election now ? Because, like any reasonably smart political operator (i.e. the exact polar opposite of clueless comrade corbyn) she can smell the blood in the water and is taking the opportunity to destroy the labour shambles when they are at their weakest.
And a majority of honest labour supporters agree.
As for tory complacency - like most sensible people (including a majority of the less deranged labour supporters) I think the opposite will happen. Corbyn (in keeping with his career long record of general uselessness) will serve to galvanise and motivate people to get out and vote - against him.
Why do you think May is calling an election now ? Because, like any reasonably smart political operator (i.e. the exact polar opposite of clueless comrade corbyn) she can smell the blood in the water and is taking the opportunity to destroy the labour shambles when they are at their weakest.
And a majority of honest labour supporters agree.
But the point is, how will these honest labour supporters react? Stay home because they are resigned to a bad result? Redouble their canvassing efforts etc. because they know it's an uphill struggle? Vote tactically, depending on the situation in their particular constituency?
I personally don't see why a labour voter wouldn't work hard for a labour victory, just because they don't like the current parliamentary leader. Their motivation should depend more on their own MP or labour candidate.