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Search: Posts Made By: Charismatic
Showing results 1 to 25 of 44
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Forum: New Zealand
Oct 7th 2017, 1:05 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

By most measures the UK economy is starting to face the headwind as the ol' girl swings about. Real/inflation adjusted wage growth is negative (BoE are looking at a rate rise as well as inflation has...
Forum: New Zealand
May 16th 2017, 11:17 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

In a move that could impede a trade deal the EU rules all 28 national and 10 regional assemblies will have to approve trade deals: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-39934196
Forum: New Zealand
Mar 30th 2017, 5:57 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

London Stock Exchange - Deutsche Boerse deal has been blocked, allegedly on competitive grounds. However I wonder if this has a bit to do with the EUs negotiating position on financial markets.
...
Forum: New Zealand
Mar 29th 2017, 8:16 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Smile Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Seems to be on the Eurozone rather than EU? Either way I enjoy a dissenting view.
Forum: New Zealand
Mar 24th 2017, 12:34 pm
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

I'm not accusing New Zealand of exploiting the situation to get EU market access but the EU did just agree to negotiate bi-lateral trade talks. Trade talks with the UK are scheduled subsequently ;)....
Forum: New Zealand
Jan 15th 2017, 8:13 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Smile Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Well the UK government has talked about building glabal ties etc. etc. and somehow mentioned New Zealand (although at this point, as far as I'm aware, we've not invited any friends requests?) Now...
Forum: New Zealand
Jan 9th 2017, 11:09 pm
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Theresa May pushed GBP lower by insisting that brexit would go ahead and also stated that the UK would not retain any form of privelaged relationship with the EU.
Forum: New Zealand
Dec 13th 2016, 8:51 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Inflation rate up to 1.2% p.a. Mostly imported goods (fuel, food etc.) so it'll be interesting to see what wages do in response. A drop in real wages may swing public opinion on a range of issues and...
Forum: New Zealand
Dec 2nd 2016, 4:29 pm
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Smile Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Liberal democrat Sarah Olney just took the Richmond electorate from ex-Conservative MP Zac Goldsmith (who drew the short straw on airport expansion) running on an anti-brexit ticket. The next UK...
Forum: New Zealand
Nov 15th 2016, 10:06 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Head winds for both currencies, UK inflation data looks weak. It'll be interesting to see if it's a lack of pass through on imported goods or if consumers feeling the pinch so not spending.
Forum: New Zealand
Nov 5th 2016, 9:52 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Smile Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

I think a lot of people have been keeping money in GBP, every time an impediment to brexit appears (the latest being court reminding government statute has precedent over decree, as it ever has) GBP...
Forum: New Zealand
Nov 3rd 2016, 4:20 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Kiwi is up again, in context I'm glad I'm paid in NZD rather than GBP.
Forum: New Zealand
Oct 24th 2016, 9:16 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Unhappy Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Looks like banks will get no special treatment (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-03/may-said-to-downgrade-city-in-brexit-shock-for-financial-sector) and banks have responded to the...
Forum: New Zealand
Oct 19th 2016, 9:51 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Smile Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

ONS employment data:


I wouldn't have expected reduced employment growth, the UK has been able to reduce wages and remain competitive much more rapidly than most other countries which has kept...
Forum: New Zealand
Oct 18th 2016, 6:02 pm
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Smile Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Bumped to a 1% p.a. rate from 0.6% p.a. last two quarters. Wage growth is at 2% so wages are not yet deflating in real terms.

As for PM Mays wishful thinking in her speech about savers being...
Forum: New Zealand
Oct 17th 2016, 9:32 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Smile Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Seems inflation is picking up in imported FMCGs, food had actually been deflating for the last few years and it's clear from from the tussle between Tesco and Unilever there is a lot of pressure not...
Forum: New Zealand
Oct 5th 2016, 4:30 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Theresa's speech gave a nice little bump to the NZD/GBP even if weaker milk price auctions have held it back against other currencies.
Forum: New Zealand
Oct 4th 2016, 7:44 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

I'm definitely no Tory but I doubt this, most banks backed remain due to single market access and financial services passporting. The last thing London based banks wanted is is the expense of moving...
Forum: New Zealand
Oct 3rd 2016, 4:17 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Looking at what the PM indicated a "hard" Brexit appears likely and on a tight timeline. Seems risky given more than half of those who supported Brexit thought the UK would retain single market...
Forum: New Zealand
Sep 20th 2016, 11:51 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

I think that the EU where very clear on what a Brexit would mean and that there couldn't be any "special deal" for the UK. They've perhaps been more up front by encouraging the UK to file the...
Forum: New Zealand
Sep 18th 2016, 3:00 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

A group of EU countries have also said they'll veto any deal that allows common market access but limits the ability of their citizens to work in the UK.


It'll be interesting to see what the UK...
Forum: New Zealand
Sep 12th 2016, 12:51 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Hopefully they object.

Prime Minister May seems very happy to wait for those who supported invoking article 50 and have now been appointed to either piss or get off the pot.
Forum: New Zealand
Sep 11th 2016, 10:50 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Smile Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Still waiting for article 50. May has been most insistent that "Brexit means Brexit" but the details remain sketchy. No trade deals yet as everyone is waiting to see what the UK does regarding the...
Forum: New Zealand
Sep 4th 2016, 2:16 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Smile Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

Prime Minister Theresa May warns of difficult times ahead for the UK. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-37268458)
Forum: New Zealand
Aug 16th 2016, 7:23 am
Replies: 124
Views: 23,503
Posted By Charismatic

Re: money to be made with brexit exchange rate

So close to closing above this, 0.5606p although it did peak above this price level.[/QUOTE]

Ladies and Gentlemen,

http://i65.tinypic.com/t82no2.png

I believe that's numberwang....
Showing results 1 to 25 of 44
 
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