Go Back  British Expats > Living & Moving Abroad > Middle East
Reload this Page >

If there was a property crash in Dubai..

If there was a property crash in Dubai..

Thread Tools
 
Old Mar 1st 2007, 10:59 am
  #121  
Soupy twist
 
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 2,271
Eeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond reputeEeyore has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
Yes, 50K does cover my costs. However, if the flat next door is renting for 90K would you be happy to accecpt about half that?
I can honestly say that I would. As long as the rental income was ensuring that I didn't have to fund any expenses for the property out of my own pocket, I'd be quite happy, because I'd be the one sitting on the asset that someone else was paying for.

Equally, if my tenant chose to leave of his/her own accord, and it was legal for me to increase the rent for the new tenant to match what similar properties were going for, then I'd do that. I certainly wouldn't be unhappy that the rent law prevented me shoving a splintery stick up my existing tenant's arse come renewal time, though... but maybe my moral sense is developed to an abnormal degree

I haven't seen the two bed apartments next door that go for 90K but I imagine people pay more for The Greens because the apartments are bigger
No, they're not. We had a look at them. The only major difference, really, is that they're not called "The Greens".

People aren't "forced" to pay 90K for an apartment at The Greens
I can only echo what W10 has written about that.
Eeyore is offline  
Old Mar 1st 2007, 11:18 am
  #122  
BE Enthusiast
 
Border Reiver's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2005
Location: Dubai
Posts: 888
Border Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by IndieGirl
People are being forced to pay high rents because supply is being artificially choked - severe delays in completing projects. If all the projects announced had been delivered on time - and not delayed by 2 years, you wouldn't have this problem today. Also, there are many buildings at the Marina that are completed but remain unoccupied. Why is that?
Well in that case the only reason people are being "forced" to pay high rents is because of supply and demand. There are severe delays in completing projects but that is more do to with unrealsitic completion dates and general incompetence than a conspiracy.

I've asked it before and I'll ask it again, which buildings in the Marina are completed but unoccupied?

Why does everybody seem to think that the property market in Dubai is a conspiracy against the tenants? It isn't, it is supply and demand or, to coin a phrase, "it's the economy, stupid."

If the tenants are all getting such a bad deal and the landlords are all doing really, really well- if you can't beat 'em, join 'em. Being a landlord isn't some exclusive club you have to be invited to join. Buy a property, rent it out. It's easy. Then you too could be making millions Or in the case of Gareth R running a social housing project.
Border Reiver is offline  
Old Mar 1st 2007, 11:29 am
  #123  
W10
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
If the tenants are all getting such a bad deal and the landlords are all doing really, really well- if you can't beat 'em, join 'em. Being a landlord isn't some exclusive club you have to be invited to join. Buy a property, rent it out. It's easy. Then you too could be making millions Or in the case of Gareth R running a social housing project.
Pretty much by the time I arrived here I would have been uneasy about buying. I still am. I thought it was expensive 18 months ago, now its beyond stupid and being propped up by people with vested interests.

Every year it seems someone comes up with a way of making homeowners part with their cash. Plus not actually owning the land is amazing.
 
Old Mar 1st 2007, 11:30 am
  #124  
W10
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by Border Reiver

I've asked it before and I'll ask it again, which buildings in the Marina are completed but unoccupied?
Apparently one of the Emaar towers still has entire floors unoccupied (I don't head down to that ghastly part of town often, thats from a friend of mine who works in real estate)
 
Old Mar 1st 2007, 11:35 am
  #125  
BE Enthusiast
 
Border Reiver's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2005
Location: Dubai
Posts: 888
Border Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: If there was a property crash in Dubai..

Well, this being an Emaar development that really doesn't narrow it down too much unfortunately.
Border Reiver is offline  
Old Mar 1st 2007, 11:45 am
  #126  
BE Forum Addict
 
IndieG's Avatar
 
Joined: Apr 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 4,553
IndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
Well in that case the only reason people are being "forced" to pay high rents is because of supply and demand. There are severe delays in completing projects but that is more do to with unrealsitic completion dates and general incompetence than a conspiracy.
Realistic completion dates - I would understand 3 months or at worst - 6 month delays. But 24 months, and still no hand over? Some projects (e.g. from DAMAC) have not even gotten off ground - but then they are a different kettle of fish altogether.....

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
I've asked it before and I'll ask it again, which buildings in the Marina are completed but unoccupied?
Will ask my colleague next week - he lives there, and he told me half his building is empty.

Originally Posted by Border Reiver

Why does everybody seem to think that the property market in Dubai is a conspiracy against the tenants? It isn't, it is supply and demand or, to coin a phrase, "it's the economy, stupid."
obvious isn't it....... when you choke supply, demand is going to outstrip supply?

I don't know if you recall, but there was an article in the ITP (construction magazine ? not sure) about a freeze on construction activity in DubaiLand, that was quickly withdrawn when interested parties/major developers threatened to withdraw sponsorship/business. The article was withdrawn. Bad news is well hidden. Ofcourse there is no conspiracy. Stupid me.

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
Then you too could be making millions Or in the case of Gareth R running a social housing project.
I have already made mine and I am laughing. Thank you.

PS: Like Gareth, I'd probably make a very lousy landlord - I wouldn't have the heart to collect an obscene rent. And if the tenant has a sob story, then I am doomed

Last edited by IndieG; Mar 1st 2007 at 11:51 am.
IndieG is offline  
Old Mar 1st 2007, 11:55 am
  #127  
W10
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: If there was a property crash in Dubai..

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
Well, this being an Emaar development that really doesn't narrow it down too much unfortunately.
I thought they only had a few towers completed there? They are the master planners but 99% of the buildings aren't Emaar
 
Old Mar 1st 2007, 11:58 am
  #128  
W10
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
I took a huge risk buying property here 3 years ago and many people thought I was mad.
No you didn't. what was the price? Dh350,000 or something? Hardly what I'd call a huge risk.

JAT
 
Old Mar 1st 2007, 12:05 pm
  #129  
BE Enthusiast
 
Border Reiver's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2005
Location: Dubai
Posts: 888
Border Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: If there was a property crash in Dubai..

Off the top of my head I can think of 13 Emaar towers which are completed and heavily occupied. Of course then there is JBR which, rather like DAMAC, is another kettle of fish altogether. There are a number of towers by smaller developers which are also finished and look to be pretty well occupied.

A large number of apartments at the Marina are second/holiday homes which are only occupied at weekends and for a few weeks of the year. Did somebody mention money laundring? I couldn't possibly comment. Still doesn't make it a conspiracy to keep rents high though.

For the record I expect rents will fall late this year or early next, then recover over 12-24 months as supply and demand reach some sort of balance. I wouldn't expect any tenant to pay more than market rates out of loyalty to the landlord though.

Last edited by Border Reiver; Mar 1st 2007 at 12:10 pm. Reason: terrible spelling
Border Reiver is offline  
Old Mar 1st 2007, 12:09 pm
  #130  
BE Enthusiast
 
Border Reiver's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2005
Location: Dubai
Posts: 888
Border Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by W10
No you didn't. what was the price? Dh350,000 or something? Hardly what I'd call a huge risk.

JAT
All the people who missed out on the property boom the first time around are now apparently hoping for a crash so they can have another chance. I don't think it will work like that. For the record I paid 430,000Dhs on the secondary market, with a mortgage of 330,000Dhs for a flat which wasn't finished and didn't even have a proper completion date. When the flats were first released Emaar where so unsure of the likely demand they had to introuduce a "rent to buy" scheme to make sure the properties sold. Oh yes, and the mortgage provider? A company called "Tamweel" which nobody had ever heard of, had only been going for 6 months and charged interest rates which were astronomical by Western standards.

It was a risk and I had a couple of sleepless nights but I thought the upside was potentially greater. Turns out I was right. If it wasn't a risk at all why didn't you grab a handful? Wish I'd bought more than one.....

Last edited by Border Reiver; Mar 1st 2007 at 12:13 pm.
Border Reiver is offline  
Old Mar 1st 2007, 12:21 pm
  #131  
BE Forum Addict
 
IndieG's Avatar
 
Joined: Apr 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 4,553
IndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
All the people who missed out on the property boom the first time around are now apparently hoping for a crash so they can have another chance. I don't think it will work like that.
I am certainly NOT hoping for a crash (i.e. down 50-70%) - a lot of banks and businesses will be badly hurt.

I had the money then (and if I wanted to arbitrage on interest, I could've even taken a mortgage at 4% ) and didn't buy, I still won't buy at 50% lower prices - simply because I don't look at this place being permanent for us - we will stay as long as we are working here. Moreover, we live so close to work, moving there wouldn't have been feasible either.
IndieG is offline  
Old Mar 1st 2007, 12:24 pm
  #132  
W10
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
All the people who missed out on the property boom the first time around are now apparently hoping for a crash so they can have another chance. I don't think it will work like that. For the record I paid 430,000Dhs on the secondary market, with a mortgage of 330,000Dhs for a flat which wasn't finished and didn't even have a proper completion date. When the flats were first released Emaar where so unsure of the likely demand they had to introuduce a "rent to buy" scheme to make sure the properties sold. Oh yes, and the mortgage provider? A company called "Tamweel" which nobody had ever heard of, had only been going for 6 months and charged interest rates which were astronomical by Western standards.

It was a risk and I had a couple of sleepless nights but I thought the upside was potentially greater. Turns out I was right. If it wasn't a risk at all why didn't you grab a handful? Wish I'd bought more than one.....
I wasn't here...I think I pointed that out earlier.For that money I would have bought some.

Easy investment as Dubai had big growth plans. And that was as low as prices were ever going to get. Even with my concerns about property law and residents' rights I'd have taken a few flats at that price.

My opinion - The 'correction' will see prices fall by 30%
 
Old Mar 1st 2007, 12:26 pm
  #133  
BE Enthusiast
 
Border Reiver's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2005
Location: Dubai
Posts: 888
Border Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: If there was a property crash in Dubai..

Sorry IG, I should have said "Some" not "All". It wasn't aimed at anybody in particular.
Border Reiver is offline  
Old Mar 1st 2007, 12:36 pm
  #134  
BE Forum Addict
 
IndieG's Avatar
 
Joined: Apr 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 4,553
IndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond reputeIndieG has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: If there was a property crash in Dubai..

Originally Posted by Border Reiver
Sorry IG, I should have said "Some" not "All". It wasn't aimed at anybody in particular.
No worries. But I am happy for any one who has made money in the property market ........ except the money launderers - I hope they lose or get caught....
IndieG is offline  
Old Mar 1st 2007, 12:42 pm
  #135  
BE Enthusiast
 
Border Reiver's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2005
Location: Dubai
Posts: 888
Border Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond reputeBorder Reiver has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: A load of hot air....

Originally Posted by W10
My opinion - The 'correction' will see prices fall by 30%
I'll go for 15-20%. If it looks like being more than that developers probably will keep inventory back for later release. But, at 20% I'd buy a few more. If I had the deposits.....
Border Reiver is offline  


Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.