Ringgit fluctuation
#1
Forum Regular
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Joined: Jul 2017
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Ringgit fluctuation
Dear forum brethren,
As someone not in MY what is happening to cause the dramatic recent fluctuation in the MYR?
Any predictions for its fortunes in 2018?
As someone not in MY what is happening to cause the dramatic recent fluctuation in the MYR?
Any predictions for its fortunes in 2018?
#2
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Aug 2015
Location: Penang
Posts: 959
Re: Ringgit fluctuation
What "dramatic" fluctuations have you noticed recently?
To be honest, I don't pay any special attention to the exchange rates.
To be honest, I don't pay any special attention to the exchange rates.
#5
Re: Ringgit fluctuation
Since January it's dropped from 4.5 MYR / USD to 4.06 MYR / USD while over the same period benchmark crude has risen from $53 USD per barrel to $63 USD per barrel.
The US, however is exporting far more light sweet crude into the asian market which is competing directly against the more expensive, but higher quality Tapis light sweet crude.
#6
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Joined: Oct 2015
Posts: 464
Re: Ringgit fluctuation
MYR is recovering now a little bit, nothing special at all. Since 10 years the turnaround point was always around 5,0 to the Euro. Mini currencies like GBP just follow the EUR and USD movement.
Think it will stopp around 4,7 this time, because of the massive government spending in front of the elections. 4,5 and below is only possible with a lot of help from Greece like last time
I sold Euros as crazy above 5,0 and now just laze around and spend the Ringgits
If you expect Bank Negara to take action before the election (I doubt it) then just do 3m FD.
Think it will stopp around 4,7 this time, because of the massive government spending in front of the elections. 4,5 and below is only possible with a lot of help from Greece like last time
I sold Euros as crazy above 5,0 and now just laze around and spend the Ringgits
If you expect Bank Negara to take action before the election (I doubt it) then just do 3m FD.
Last edited by eCdD; Dec 6th 2017 at 3:53 am.
#8
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Joined: Aug 2015
Location: Penang
Posts: 959
Re: Ringgit fluctuation
I agree with kingoflostfools that the upcoming election has most likely an impact on the exchange rate.
#9
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Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,274
Re: Ringgit fluctuation
Math isn't my fav subject, beer is, but how is it 1US$ received MYR4.5 in Jan and today only receives MYR4.06 and, as you've apparently confirmed, is an 11 % increase to a recipient in Malaysia?
I would think the opposite.
I would think the opposite.
Last edited by Davita; Dec 6th 2017 at 3:22 pm.
#10
Re: Ringgit fluctuation
I didn't say that. RM has risen 11% which is not good for anyone living in Malaysia and having to convert $ or £ to RM. They will get less.
#11
Re: Ringgit fluctuation
Conversely, the rise of the ringett makes Malaysia more expensive for US visitors, or anyone else who holds USD.
#13
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Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,274
Re: Ringgit fluctuation
I understood that by financial definitions MYR is stronger when it costs less to buy a US$ or other currency. That is good news for those earning MYR and wishing to convert to another currency.
But an expat living in Malaysia, and this is a British Expat Forum, who remits his foreign currency (pension/investment) and exchange to MYR and gets 11 % less today than in Jan......is not an increase. He is poorer unless his cost of living is lowered by the same amount.
But an expat living in Malaysia, and this is a British Expat Forum, who remits his foreign currency (pension/investment) and exchange to MYR and gets 11 % less today than in Jan......is not an increase. He is poorer unless his cost of living is lowered by the same amount.
#14
Just Joined
Joined: Sep 2015
Posts: 18
Re: Ringgit fluctuation
Just three and a bit years ago (2013) when I got MM2H visa, the 1 USD was only equal to RM 2.9, so I wired my USD in Malaysia for the FD for that rate. And soon after I got MM2H, the ringgit depreciated sharply and was recently as low as RM 4.5 to USD, an approximate 50 % decrease in value. I wish I could have applied MM2H when it was 4.5 to USD, I would have saved 50% of my USD capital by doing so. And still, if I cancel my MM2H and reconvert my FD to USD back, I'm going to suffer around 35% of my total USD capital loss.
#15
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Joined: Jul 2017
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Re: Ringgit fluctuation
Thanks all for the responses and information plus those who gave predictions.
2018 election - yikes - "Fasten your seat belts, its going to be a bumpy night!"
2018 election - yikes - "Fasten your seat belts, its going to be a bumpy night!"