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Old Mar 7th 2014, 12:03 am   #1
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Exclamation Tropical Cyclone Hadi- Coral Sea - Queensland Coast

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for the Coral Sea
Issued at 2:33 pm EST on Thursday 6 March 2014
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 9 March 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

At 1pm a weak tropical low was located approximately 1,115 kilometres east
northeast of Cairns, moving south southwest at 30 kilometres per hour. The low
is expected to strengthen as it moves slowly to the southwest over the next few
days, and may approach Queensland's northeast coast during the weekend.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Friday Moderate
Saturday High
Sunday High

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50%
Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.

http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts/cyclone.shtml

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

70%+ chance of becoming a cyclone in the next week

May cross the coast though that currently seems unlikely. What is more probable is that it will track south offshore bringing very heavy rain and cyclonic winds down the coast at least as far as the Whitsundays.
Looks like being a Cat 1-2 but conditions are good so it may become a Cat 3.

Rainfall in the range of 100-200 in 24 hours likely on the coast to the south of the system, but if it moves in really close to the coast then this could increase to up to 400mm in 24 hours. Rain likely to move in Saturday, increasing Sunnday/Monday.
Attached Thumbnails
Tropical Cyclone Hadi- Coral Sea - Queensland Coast-image.jpg  
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"

Last edited by Pollyana; Mar 7th 2014 at 12:13 am.
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Old Mar 7th 2014, 12:56 am   #2
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Default Re: Possible cyclone - Coral Sea - Queensland Coast

IDQ20023
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued at 10:53 am EST on Friday 7 March 2014


A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for a developing tropical low for coastal and
island communities from Cairns to Mackay.


At 10:00 am EST a Tropical Low was estimated to be
560 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and
630 kilometres northeast of Townsville and
moving west southwest at 34 kilometres per hour.

The tropical low is expected to move in a west-southwest direction today before
adopting a south-southwest track during Saturday. The tropical low is expected
to intensify into the weekend and it is anticipated it will form into a
tropical cyclone on Sunday.

GALES may develop about coastal and island communities between Cairns and
Mackay during Sunday.

Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is possible about coastal and
nearby adjacent inland areas between Cooktown and Mackay from late Saturday and
should persist into Sunday.

People between Cairns and Mackay should consider what action they will need to
take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Details of Tropical Low at 10:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.9 degrees South 150.6 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 130 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 34 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 1003 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Friday 07 March.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
Attached Thumbnails
Tropical Cyclone Hadi- Coral Sea - Queensland Coast-idq65001.png  
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"
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Old Mar 7th 2014, 5:54 am   #3
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Default Re: Possible Cyclone - Coral Sea - Queensland Coast

IDQ20023
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 2
Issued at 4:21 pm EST on Friday 7 March 2014


A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for a developing tropical low for coastal and island communities from Cairns to Mackay.

At 4:00 pm EST a Tropical Low was estimated to be
570 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and
640 kilometres northeast of Townsville and
moving west at 19 kilometres per hour.

The tropical low is expected to move in a west-southwest direction tonight
before adopting a south-southwest track during Saturday. The tropical low is
expected to intensify into the weekend and it is currently anticipated it will
form into a tropical cyclone on Sunday and possibly cross the Herbert and Lower Burdekin coast on Monday.

GALES may develop about coastal and island communities between Cairns and
Mackay late Saturday or during Sunday.

Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is possible about coastal and
nearby adjacent inland areas between Cooktown and Mackay from late Saturday and
should persist into Sunday.

People between Cairns and Mackay should consider what action they will need to
take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Details of Tropical Low at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.9 degrees South 150.7 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 130 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west at 19 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 1002 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Friday 07 March.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
Attached Thumbnails
Tropical Cyclone Hadi- Coral Sea - Queensland Coast-idq65001.png  
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"
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Old Mar 7th 2014, 6:19 am   #4
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Default Re: Possible cyclone - Coral Sea - Queensland Coast

So, after Dylan will this one be Elvis?
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Old Mar 7th 2014, 6:47 am   #5
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Default Re: Possible cyclone - Coral Sea - Queensland Coast

Quote:
Originally Posted by quoll View Post
So, after Dylan will this one be Elvis?

Next two names are Gillian and Hadi. E was Edna, fizzled in the Coral Sea, F was Fletcher in the Gulf
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"
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Old Mar 7th 2014, 10:48 pm   #6
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Default Re: Possible cyclone - Coral Sea - Queensland Coast

IDQ20023
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 4
Issued at 4:30 am EST on Saturday 8 March 2014


A Cyclone WATCH is now current for a developing tropical low for coastal and
island communities from Cairns to St Lawrence.

At 4:00 am EST a Tropical Low was estimated to be
460 kilometres east of Cairns and
480 kilometres northeast of Townsville and
moving west southwest at 13 kilometres per hour.

The tropical low is expected to move in a southwest direction today before
adopting a more southerly track on Sunday. The tropical should slowly intensify
and may develop into a tropical cyclone before crossing the Queensland coast
between Townsville and Mackay overnight Sunday or early Monday.

GALES may develop about coastal and island communities between Cairns and St
Lawrence during Sunday.

Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is possible about coastal and
nearby adjacent inland areas between Cooktown and Mackay from late Saturday and
should persist into Sunday.

People between Cairns and St Lawrence should consider what action they will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Details of Tropical Low at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.2 degrees South 150.0 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 130 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 13 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 1002 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 11:00 am EST Saturday 08 March.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
Attached Thumbnails
Tropical Cyclone Hadi- Coral Sea - Queensland Coast-idq65001xx.png  
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Old Mar 8th 2014, 8:09 am   #7
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Default Re: Possible cyclone - Coral Sea - Queensland Coast

IDQ20023
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 6
Issued at 5:58 pm EST on Saturday 8 March 2014


A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cardwell to
Proserpine.


A Cyclone WATCH is now current for a developing tropical low for coastal and
island communities from Cairns to Cardwell and Proserpine to St Lawrence.


At 4:00 pm EST a Tropical Low was estimated to be 490 kilometres northeast of Townsville and 525 kilometres north of Hamilton Island and moving northwest at 6 kilometres per hour.

The tropical low should slowly intensify and may develop into a tropical
cyclone before crossing the Queensland coast between Cardwell and Proserpine overnight during Monday or Tuesday.


GALES may develop about coastal and island communities between Cardwell and Proserpine during Sunday.

Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is possible about coastal and
nearby adjacent inland areas between Cooktown and Mackay from Sunday.


Coastal residents between Lucinda and Hamilton Island are specifically warned
of the dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast. The sea is likely to rise steadily up to a level well above the normal tide, with damaging waves and flooding of some low-lying areas close to the shoreline. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by the authorities.

People between Cairns and St Lawrence should consider what action they will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Details of Tropical Low at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 15.7 degrees South 149.5 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the northwest at 6 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 998 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 8:00 pm EST Saturday 08 March.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone


http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings/
Attached Thumbnails
Tropical Cyclone Hadi- Coral Sea - Queensland Coast-idq65001.png  
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"
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Old Mar 9th 2014, 11:55 am   #8
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Default Re: Possible cyclone - Coral Sea - Queensland Coast

IDQ20023
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 16
Issued at 7:40 pm EST on Sunday 9 March 2014


A Cyclone WARNING remains current for coastal areas from Lucinda to St Lawrence.

A Cyclone WATCH remains current for coastal and island communities from
Innisfail to Lucinda.

At 7:00 pm EST a tropical low was estimated to be
370 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and
285 kilometres north northeast of Hamilton Island and
moving southeast at 15 kilometres per hour.

The tropical low has not shown signs of development in the past 24 hours,
however it may slowly intensify and develop into a tropical cyclone on Monday
afternoon. The system is expected to continue moving in a general south
southeasterly direction before becoming slow moving and shifting to a
northeasterly track on Monday. It is likely that the system will remain off the
coast. However there is greater than usual uncertainty regarding the track and
there is still a chance that it will move towards the coast.

GALES are expected to continue about central coast and island communities and
may extend to coastal comunities between Lucinda and St Lawrence during Monday.

Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, will continue about coastal and
nearby adjacent inland areas between Bowen and St Lawrence overnight and during
Monday.

Large waves may produce minor flooding along the foreshore between Lucinda and
St Lawrence. Tides will also be higher than normal. People living in areas
likely to be affected should take measures to protect their property as much as
possible and be prepared to help their neighbours.

People between Lucinda and St Lawrence should take precautions and listen to
the next advice at 11:00 pm.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

People between Innisfail and Lucinda should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Details of Tropical Low at 7:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 18.0 degrees South 150.0 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the southeast at 15 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 998 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Sunday 09 March.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
Attached Thumbnails
Tropical Cyclone Hadi- Coral Sea - Queensland Coast-image.jpg  
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Old Mar 9th 2014, 9:33 pm   #9
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Default Tropical Cyclone Hadi - Coral Sea - Queensland Coast

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 20
Issued at 7:08 am EST on Monday 10 March 2014


The Cyclone WARNING from Ayr to St Lawrence has been cancelled.

At 6:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Hadi, Category 1 was estimated to be
270 kilometres northeast of Hamilton Island and 380 kilometres east northeast
of Ayr and moving southeast at 12 kilometres per hour away from the coast.

TROPICAL CYCLONE Hadi, CATEGORY 1, has developed over the past 6 hours and is forecast to slowly strengthen further over the next 12 to 24 hours. The cyclone is currently moving in a southeast direction and should develop a northeasterly track during the day today. The cyclone is forecast to remain well offshore of the coast.

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS have now eased along the east coast and adjacent islands.Further gradual easing of winds is expected throughout today as the cyclone moves away.

HEAVY RAIN has now eased and is no longer expected to affect the Queensland east coast.



Details of Tropical Cyclone Hadi at 6:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 18.8 degrees South 150.9 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the southeast at 12 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 120 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 991 hectoPascals

No further Tropical Cyclone Advices will be issued, for further information
refer to the Tropical Cyclone Information Bulletin to be issued at 11:00 am EST Monday 10 March.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
Attached Thumbnails
Tropical Cyclone Hadi- Coral Sea - Queensland Coast-idq65001.png  
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"
Pollyana is offline  
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