Go Back   British Expats / Living & Moving Abroad / Australia / Flood, Fire, Tsunami, Cyclone Alerts and Information

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools
Old Jan 30th 2011, 1:04 am   #1
Witchy Hermit
Premium Member
 
Pollyana's Avatar
 
Joined: Dec 2002
Location: Keep true friends and puppets close, trust no-one else...
Posts: 91,084
Pollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond repute
Exclamation Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi

This is from the Fiji Met Service and refers to what "may"become cyclone Yasi.

Advisory Number 3 on a Tropical Low issued by the Vanuatu Meteorological Service, Port Vila at 12:23pm VUT Sunday 30 January 2011.

At 11:00am local time today, a tropical low (1001 hPa) was located near 13.6S 170.4E, letter J, number 3 of the Vanuatu Tropical Cyclone Tracking Map. This is about 295 KM northeast of Maewo. The system is moving northwest at 17 KM/HR. The potential for the system to intensify into a Tropical Cyclone as well as move to the central or northern parts of Vanuatu is the next 24 to 48 hours is moderate to high.

Forecast Positions
Date and Time Position Intensity
+06 hours (5pm, 30 Jan) 13.1S, 169.3E 25 KTS (45 KM/HR)
+12 hours (11pm, 30 Jan) 13.0S, 168.0E 25 KTS (45 KM/HR)
+18 hours (5am, 31 Jan) 12.9S, 166.8E 40 KTS (75 KM/HR)
+24 hours (11am, 31 Jan) 12.9S, 165.2E 40 KTS (75 KM/HR)
+36 hours (11pm, 31 Jan) 12.8S, 161.9E 50 KTS (95 KM/HR)
+48 hours (11am, 1 Feb) 13.0S, 158.6E 50 KTS (95 KM/HR)

-----------------------------------

which means it could intensify to a Cat 2 Cyclone within 48 hours - which is very quick.
The intensity of soon to be Yasi, looking at the models, is indicated to be such that it is probably going to be at least a Cat 4 or higher. However, unlike some such as Tracy or Larry, its area of gales is, from the models, quite large, possibly up to 400km across which makes it an extremely dangerous cyclone once it crosses the coast as it will affect such a large area.
Too early to make any predictions as to a crossing point, or even accurate predictions as to strength when it gets to Queensland. However all the models have been following it for several days as its deepened and all are fairly sure now it is coming this way, probably for around Thursday.

This morning's view from Google Earth shows the developing system and TC Anthiony (off Townsville).
Attached Thumbnails
Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi-google-earth-300111.jpg  
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"
Pollyana is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 1:08 am   #2
Witchy Hermit
Premium Member
 
Pollyana's Avatar
 
Joined: Dec 2002
Location: Keep true friends and puppets close, trust no-one else...
Posts: 91,084
Pollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Developing Tropical Low/Cyclone in SW Pacific




This morning's press conference.
Jim Davidson from the Bureau of Meteorology has referred to Anthony and the developing system as "David and Goliath"
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"

Last edited by Pollyana; Jan 30th 2011 at 1:13 am.
Pollyana is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 4:09 am   #3
Account Closed
 
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 14,188
iamthecreaturefromuranus is an unknown quantity at this point
Default Re: Developing Tropical Low/Cyclone in SW Pacific

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pollyana View Post
Jim Davidson from the Bureau of Meteorology has referred to Anthony and the developing system as "David and Goliath"
So that's where Jim Davidson went.... he's toned his act down a bit.
iamthecreaturefromuranus is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 10:55 am   #4
BigH68 
BE Enthusiast
 
BigH68's Avatar
 
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 403
BigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud of
Default Re: Developing Tropical Low/Cyclone in SW Pacific

looks like there is no trip to Brissy to see billy next Thursday then............OH BUM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BigH68 is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 1:54 pm   #5
Witchy Hermit
Premium Member
 
Pollyana's Avatar
 
Joined: Dec 2002
Location: Keep true friends and puppets close, trust no-one else...
Posts: 91,084
Pollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Developing Tropical Low/Cyclone in SW Pacific

Quote:
Originally Posted by BigH68 View Post
looks like there is no trip to Brissy to see billy next Thursday then............OH BUM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
You're a week ahead of yourself....Billy's the 11th, might have cleaned the mess up by then!
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"
Pollyana is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 1:57 pm   #6
Witchy Hermit
Premium Member
 
Pollyana's Avatar
 
Joined: Dec 2002
Location: Keep true friends and puppets close, trust no-one else...
Posts: 91,084
Pollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Developing Tropical Low/Cyclone in SW Pacific

She has now been named as Tropical Cyclone Yasi.

Pic of Anthony with big sister Yasi, from earlier this evening......
Attached Thumbnails
Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi-2200-300111.jpg  
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"
Pollyana is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 8:33 pm   #7
BigH68 
BE Enthusiast
 
BigH68's Avatar
 
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 403
BigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud ofBigH68 has much to be proud of
Default Re: Developing Tropical Low/Cyclone in SW Pacific

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pollyana View Post
You're a week ahead of yourself....Billy's the 11th, might have cleaned the mess up by then!
I know...but we had thought with all the floods we wouldnt get there, then we thought yay all looks ok...now the kids are in panic mode again poor buggas lol...been looking forward to it for so long...serves us right for planning something in Feb....bad Billy lol
BigH68 is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 8:36 pm   #8
Mostly Harmless
 
DeadVim's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2010
Location: Semi-rural wonderworld, Brisbane
Posts: 14,815
DeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Developing Tropical Low/Cyclone in SW Pacific

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pollyana View Post
She has now been named as Tropical Cyclone Yasi.

Pic of Anthony with big sister Yasi, from earlier this evening......
I may take this opportunity to peruse the shelves of Bunnings ...

First I've got to fix the washing machine ... it's all go here
DeadVim is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 8:49 pm   #9
Witchy Hermit
Premium Member
 
Pollyana's Avatar
 
Joined: Dec 2002
Location: Keep true friends and puppets close, trust no-one else...
Posts: 91,084
Pollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond reputePollyana has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Developing Tropical Low/Cyclone in SW Pacific

Quote:
Originally Posted by BigH68 View Post
I know...but we had thought with all the floods we wouldnt get there, then we thought yay all looks ok...now the kids are in panic mode again poor buggas lol...been looking forward to it for so long...serves us right for planning something in Feb....bad Billy lol
I sympathise, believe me...every chance I shall end up at work that night and miss it too. Only got to see half the cricket yesterday as I got called into work halway through
__________________
So when you think of me do so with pride, Honour and Bravery ruled by my side.
And in your memory I will remain; I will forever be within the flame.....
Don't shed a tear for me,I stand alone. This path of destiny is all my own.
Once in the hands of fate,there is no choice, An echo on the wind,you'll hear my voice............"
Pollyana is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 10:12 pm   #10
Beerophile
Moderator
 
Alfresco's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 20,714
Alfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Tropical Cyclone Yasi

Why is it named Yasi and not the next alphabetical name?
Alfresco is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 10:52 pm   #11
Account Closed
 
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 14,188
iamthecreaturefromuranus is an unknown quantity at this point
Default Re: Tropical Cyclone Yasi

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alfresco View Post
Why is it named Yasi and not the next alphabetical name?
The 'naming guys' were playing Yahtzee at the time.
iamthecreaturefromuranus is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 10:55 pm   #12
Beerophile
Moderator
 
Alfresco's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 20,714
Alfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Tropical Cyclone Yasi

Quote:
Originally Posted by iamthecreaturefromuranus View Post
The 'naming guys' were playing Yahtzee at the time.
Or they were drinking
Alfresco is offline  
Old Jan 30th 2011, 11:57 pm   #13
Mostly Harmless
 
DeadVim's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2010
Location: Semi-rural wonderworld, Brisbane
Posts: 14,815
DeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Tropical Cyclone Yasi

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alfresco View Post
Why is it named Yasi and not the next alphabetical name?
It was named outside BOM's jurisdiction so Fiji got first dibs
DeadVim is offline  
Old Jan 31st 2011, 12:02 am   #14
Mostly Harmless
 
DeadVim's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2010
Location: Semi-rural wonderworld, Brisbane
Posts: 14,815
DeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond reputeDeadVim has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Tropical Cyclone Yasi

My expert opinion ... it's going to get wet and windy later in the week ...
DeadVim is offline  
Old Jan 31st 2011, 2:43 am   #15
Beerophile
Moderator
 
Alfresco's Avatar
 
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 20,714
Alfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond reputeAlfresco has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Tropical Cyclone Yasi

Quote:
Originally Posted by DeadVim View Post
It was named outside BOM's jurisdiction so Fiji got first dibs
Ah!
Alfresco is offline  
Closed Thread

Go Back   British Expats / Living & Moving Abroad / Australia / Flood, Fire, Tsunami, Cyclone Alerts and Information


Thread Tools

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT. The time now is 7:00 pm.


Powered by vBulletin: ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
© 1999-2010 BritishExpats.com