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Old Jan 8th 2015, 4:09 am   #1
Witchy Hermit
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Default Queensland Cyclone Season.....

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for the Coral Sea
Issued at 2:46 pm EST on Thursday 8 January 2015
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 11 January 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

A monsoon trough currently lies over the far northern Coral Sea, with a weak
low embedded in the trough south of Papua New Guinea and another near the
Solomon Islands. The monsoon trough is expected to develop further as it drifts south into the Coral Sea into the weekend. There is an increasing risk of
tropical cyclone development over the weekend and into early next week.
The
lows are expected to remain offshore of the Queensland coast in the short term but the situation will continue be monitored carefully.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Friday Low
Saturday Moderate
Sunday High




NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50%
Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.
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