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Old Mar 8th 2015, 8:53 am   #1
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Default Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Sunday 8 March 2015

for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 11 March 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region: Nil.

Potential Cyclones:
There are no significant lows in the Western Region at present. A tropical low
is expected to form south of Indonesia later today or Monday. There is only a
small chance of this system developing into a tropical cyclone on Tuesday. The likelihood increases on Wednesday. There is likely to be a cyclone off the
coast of Western Australia by the end of the week. People are urged to continue to monitor outlooks and forecasts as the system develops.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Monday Very Low
Tuesday Low
Wednesday Moderate

===========================================

The modelling for this system is pretty much in agreement that it will move down the coast of WA.

There is a good potential for a low and cyclone to develop in the eastern Indian ocean next week, models this morning have started to ramp this system up and although it may be small has the potential to become a severe cyclone (at least category 3 status).
The low/cyclone will develop out to sea but models are indicating it will get pulled either south or south east closer to the WA coast line by next weekend thanks to a trough system, this means there is some possibility it may near the western Pilbara or Gascoyne coasts definitely one to watch! These small systems are the ones we really have to keep an eye on cos can explode out of no where (Like Marcia) and this system has the potential to do this which may catch some people by surprise.
There is also a possibility that it could bring very strong winds and heavy rainfall as far down the coast as Perth or even further south.
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Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-11028007_848085405247595_59611170169008695_n.jpg   Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-11044497_810625305678471_3127516677724035778_n.png  
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Old Mar 9th 2015, 7:13 am   #2
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Default re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 1:49 pm WST on Monday 9 March 2015
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 12 March 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:



A tropical low is forming south of Indonesia. There is only a small chance of
this low developing into a tropical cyclone on Tuesday. However conditions
become very favourable from Wednesday onwards and it is likely that a tropical
cyclone will have formed by late Wednesday or during Thursday. This system is
likely to pose a threat to coastal communities later in the week or over the
weekend. People are urged to continue to monitor outlooks and forecasts as the
system develops.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Tuesday Low
Wednesday High
Thursday High
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Old Mar 10th 2015, 6:08 am   #3
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Default re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA


TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued at 12:57 pm WST on Tuesday 10 March 2015
Headline:
Tropical cyclone impact possible for the west Pilbara coast on Thursday.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
None.

Watch Zone
Port Hedland to Ningaloo, including Karratha, Onslow and Exmouth.

Cancelled Zone
None.

Details of Tropical Low at 11:00 am WST:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 110 kilometres of 14.0 degrees South 115.6 degrees East, estimated to be 760 kilometres north of Karratha and 900 kilometres north of Exmouth.

Movement: near stationary.

There is a high level of uncertainty associated with this tropical low. The most likely scenario is for the low to tracks towards the west Pilbara coast and develop into a tropical cyclone late Wednesday or on Thursday. It is not expected to cause gales in coastal areas on Tuesday or Wednesday but gales may commence on Thursday afternoon or evening. If the system tracks more slowly towards the coast then a later impact from a more intense cyclone is likely.

Hazards:
Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are not expected on Tuesday or Wednesday but may develop between Karratha and Exmouth on Thursday afternoon. If the system tracks a little more to the east then gales may develop as far east as Port Hedland.

Heavy rainfall is likely to develop over the western Pilbara and northern Gascoyne districts as the system approaches and may lead to flooding. Please refer to the latest Flood Watches and Warnings for more details Western Australia Warnings Summary.

Recommended Action:
DFES-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at present.

Communities between Port Hedland and Ningaloo should listen for the next advice.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 3:00 pm WST Tuesday 10 March.
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Old Mar 11th 2015, 4:15 am   #4
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Default re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 6

Issued at 11:04 am WST on Wednesday 11 March 2015


Developing Tropical Low - Cyclone Warning zone now issued for coastal areas from Port Hedland to Ningaloo.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone

Coastal areas from Port Hedland to Ningaloo, including Karratha, Barrow Island, Onslow, and Exmouth. Not including Port Hedland..
Watch Zone

Ningaloo to Carnarvon and adjacent inland areas of the western Pilbara and northwest Gascoyne, including Nanutarra.

Cancelled Zone

None.
Details of Tropical Low at 11:00 am WST:

Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 75 kilometres of 16.2 degrees South 116.1 degrees East, estimated to be 510 kilometres north of Karratha and 670 kilometres north northeast of Exmouth.

Movement: south at 11 kilometres per hour.

The tropical low is likely to continue to develop in the next 24 hours and could reach cyclone intensity Thursday morning. The system is forecast to move in a south to southwest direction over the next 48 hours, reaching the west Pilbara coastline Friday morning.
Hazards:

Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are forecast to develop between Karratha and Exmouth during Thursday. Should the system take a more southerly track during Thursday then gales may develop as far east as Whim Creek.

Heavy rainfall is likely to develop over the western Pilbara and northern Gascoyne during Friday and Saturday and may lead to flooding. Please refer to the latest Flood Watches and Warnings for more details: Western Australia Warnings Summary.
Recommended Action:

DFES-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at present.

Communities between Port Hedland and Carnarvon should listen for the next advice.
Next Advice:

The next advice will be issued by 3:00 pm WST Wednesday 11 March.

Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by dialling 1300 659 210
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Old Mar 11th 2015, 9:23 am   #5
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Default re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 8

Issued at 2:57 pm WST on Wednesday 11 March 2015
Headline:
Tropical Cyclone Olwyn has formed north of the State, and will track towards the west Pilbara coast.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
Coastal areas from Port Hedland to Ningaloo, including Karratha, Barrow Island, Onslow, and Exmouth. Not including Port Hedland.

Watch Zone
Ningaloo to Kalbarri, and adjacent inland areas of the west Pilbara and west Gascoyne, including Nanutarra, Pannawonica, Gascoyne Junction, and Murchison Roadhouse.


Cancelled Zone
None.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Olwyn at 2:00 pm WST:
Intensity: Category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 75 kilometres of 16.3 degrees South 116.1 degrees East, estimated to be 500 kilometres north of Karratha and 660 kilometres north northeast of Exmouth.

Movement: south at 9 kilometres per hour.

The system has rapidly developed in the last few hours. Tropical Cyclone Olwyn will to continue to develop as it moves in a south to southwest direction over the next 48 hours, reaching the west Pilbara coastline Friday morning.

Hazards:
Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are forecast to develop between Karratha and Exmouth during Thursday. Should the system take a more southerly track during Thursday then gales may develop as far east as Whim Creek.

DESTRUCTIVE gusts in excess of 125 kilometres per hour could develop near the west Pilbara coast late evening Thursday.

Heavy rainfall is likely to develop over the western Pilbara and northern Gascoyne during Friday and Saturday and may lead to flooding. Please refer to the latest Flood Watches and Warnings for more details: Western Australia Warnings Summary.

Recommended Action:
DFES-State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:

BLUE ALERT: People in or near Whim Creek to Coral Bay extending inland to Pannawonica. This includes people in the locations of Whim Creek, Point Samson, Wickham, Roebourne, Karratha, Dampier, Onslow, Pannawonica and Exmouth. People need to prepare for cyclonic weather and organise an emergency kit including first aid kit, torch, portable radio, spare batteries, food and water.

Communities between Coral Bay to Kalbarri and adjacent inland areas should listen for the next advice.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 6:00 pm WST Wednesday 11 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by dialling 1300 659 210
Attached Thumbnails
Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-idw60280.png  
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Old Mar 11th 2015, 9:57 pm   #6
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Default re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 13

Issued at 5:55 am WST on Thursday 12 March 2015
Headline:

Tropical Cyclone Olwyn continues to move southwards towards the Exmouth area.
Areas Affected:
Warning Zone

Coastal areas from Whim Creek to Cape Cuvier including Karratha and Exmouth and extending to inland parts of the west Pilbara and northwest Gascoyne.
Watch Zone

Coastal areas from Cape Cuvier to Kalbarri including Carnarvon and extending to inland parts of the west Gascoyne and northern Central West District.

Cancelled Zone

None.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Olwyn at 5:00 am WST:

Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 55 kilometres of 18.0 degrees South 115.3 degrees East, estimated to be 345 kilometres north northwest of Karratha and 455 kilometres north northeast of Exmouth.

Movement: south southwest at 15 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Olwyn continues to intensify as it moves towards the west Pilbara coast. Olwyn will be near the west Pilbara coast early on Friday morning with landfall expected in the vicinity of Exmouth. Olwyn is forecast to intensify to a severe tropical cyclone prior to making landfall.

After crossing the coast the system will weaken as it moves southwards, though it is expected to take heavy rain and squally winds into southern parts of Western Australia.
Hazards:

Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected to develop between Karratha and Exmouth during Thursday afternoon. From late Thursday, gales may extend inland to Pannawonica and Nanutarra. Should the system take a more southerly track during Thursday then gales may extend as far east as Whim Creek.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts exceeding 165 kilometres per hour could develop near the west Pilbara coast late Thursday evening or early Friday morning as the cyclone approaches the coast. DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 kilometres per hour may extend to Coral Bay for a period during Friday morning then to Cape Cuvier later on Friday.

Residents between Mardie and Exmouth are specifically warned of the potential of a DANGEROUS STORM TIDE as the cyclone centre crosses the coast. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and DANGEROUS FLOODING.

Heavy rainfall is likely to develop over the western Pilbara and northern Gascoyne during Thursday and continue into Friday. Heavy rainfall will extend further southwards on Saturday. Please refer to the latest Flood Watches and Warnings for more details: Western Australia Warnings Summary.
Recommended Action:

DFES-State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:

YELLOW ALERT: People in or near coastal communities from Mardie to Coral Bay. This includes people in the locations of Onslow, Exmouth, Nanutarra and Coral Bay. People need to take action and get ready to shelter from a cyclone.

BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal communities from Whim Creek to Mardie. This includes locations of Whim Creek, Roebourne, Wickham, Point Sampson, Karratha, Dampier, Fortescue and Pannawonica. People need to prepare for cyclonic weather and organise an emergency kit including first aid kit, torch, portable radio, spare batteries, food and water.

Communities between Coral Bay and Kalbarri and adjacent inland areas should listen for the next advice.
Next Advice:

The next advice will be issued by 9:00 am WST Thursday 12 March.
Attached Thumbnails
Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-idw60280.png  
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Old Mar 12th 2015, 10:53 am   #7
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Default re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Media: Transmitters serving the area between Onslow and Coral Bay are requested to USE the Standard Emergency Warning Signal before broadcasting the following warning.
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 17


Issued at 6:00 pm WST on Thursday 12 March 2015
Headline:

Severe Tropical Cyclone Olwyn upgraded to category 3 as it rapidly approaches the west Pilbara coast.
Areas Affected:
Warning Zone

Roebourne to Geraldton, including Karratha, Barrow Island, Onslow, Exmouth, Coral Bay, Carnarvon, Denham, Kalbarri and adjacent inland parts of the western Pilbara, western Gascoyne and western Central West Districts.
Watch Zone

Geraldton to Jurien Bay and extending inland to Paynes Find.

Cancelled Zone

The Cyclone WARNING from Whim Creek to Roebourne has been cancelled.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Olwyn at 5:00 pm WST:

Intensity: Category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 120 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 165 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 45 kilometres of 20.6 degrees South 114.6 degrees East, estimated to be 125 kilometres north northwest of Onslow and 155 kilometres north northeast of Exmouth.

Movement: south southwest at 25 kilometres per hour.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Olwyn has intensified to category 3 as it rapidly approaches the west Pilbara coast. The cyclone centre will be in the vicinity of Exmouth later tonight and then continue to move generally southwards.

It is still possible that Olwyn may track over water to the west of Exmouth and retain cyclone intensity for longer. In that scenario communities along the Gascoyne coast will experience much stronger winds than if it tracks just inland from the coast. Regardless of whether it is over water or land, as it moves southwards it is expected to take heavy rain and squally winds into southern parts of Western Australia.
Hazards:

Gales with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced along the western Pilbara coast. DESTRUCTIVE wind gusts are being experienced at Barrow Island and DESTRUCTIVE wind gusts to 165 kilometres are expected to develop along the western Pilbara coast including Onslow and Exmouth during Thursday evening and may extend inland to Nanutarra.

Late Thursday evening or early Friday morning VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts exceeding 165 kilometres per hour are expected to develop near the west Pilbara coast, most likely between Onslow and Exmouth, as the cyclone approaches the coast. VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds may extend to Coral Bay early Friday morning. DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 kilometres per hour may extend to Cape Cuvier and Carnarvon during Friday morning.

Residents between Mardie and Exmouth are specifically warned of the potential of a VERY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE as the cyclone centre crosses the coast. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and VERY DANGEROUS FLOODING.

Heavy rainfall is likely to develop over the western Pilbara and northern Gascoyne during Thursday and continue into Friday. Heavy rainfall will extend further southwards on Saturday. Please refer to the latest Severe Weather Warnings and Flood Watches and Warnings for more details: Western Australia Warnings Summary.
Recommended Action:

DFES advises of the following community alerts:

RED ALERT: People in coastal communities from Mardie to Onslow including Onslow (excluding Pannawonica).

YELLOW ALERT: People in coastal communities from Onslow to Overlander Roadhouse, including Exmouth, Coral Bay, Cape Cuvier, Carnarvon, Wooramel and Denham. People need to take action and get ready to shelter from a cyclone.

BLUE ALERT: People in coastal communities between Roebourne to Mardie, including Point Samson, Wickham, Roebourne, Dampier, Pannawonica and from Overlander Roadhouse to Kalbarri including Billabong Roadhouse. People need to prepare for cyclonic weather and organise an emergency kit including first aid kit, torch, portable radio, spare batteries, food and water.

ALL CLEAR WITH CAUTION: People in coastal communities between Whim Creek and Roebourne.
Next Advice:

The next advice will be issued by 7:00 pm WST Thursday 12 March.

Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by dialling 1300 659 210
Attached Thumbnails
Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-idw60280.png  
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Old Mar 12th 2015, 3:11 pm   #8
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Default re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Severe Weather Warning

IDW28001
Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds and heavy rainfall
for people in the Central West, Lower West and Central Wheat Belt forecast districts

Issued at 3:59 pm WST on Thursday 12 March 2015.

For people in parts of WA during SATURDAY morning west of a line from Kalbarri to Paynes Find to Southern Cross to Mandurah. This includes people in, near or between the following towns: Perth metropolitan area, Mandurah, York, Dalwallinu, Jurien bay, Geraldton, Northampton and Kalbarri.
Weather Situation


Tropical Cyclone Olwyn is expected to weaken in northern parts of the Southwest Land Division during Saturday morning and the remnants of the system will move in a south south-east direction thorough central and western parts of the Southwest Land Division during the day.

HEAVY RAINFALL and DAMAGING WINDS will be in parts of the warning area north of Jurien Bay to Paynes Find during the early morning before moving into the remainder of the warning area north of Mandurah to Southern Cross by the middle of the day.

On Saturday the ex-tropical cyclone will produce

- HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING

- WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS to 100 kilometres per hour


that could result in DAMAGE TO HOMES AND PROPERTY.

During Saturday afternoon and evening the system will move further south affecting remaining parts of the Southwest Land Division west of Southern Cross to Hopetoun.

This is rare weather event for people in the southwest of WA.

The Department of Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:

Store or weigh down loose objects such as outdoor furniture.
Have an emergency kit with a battery operated radio, torch, spare batteries and first aid kit.
Ensure pets and animals are in a safe area.
Move vehicles under cover.
Boat owners should securely moor their boats.
Campers should find shelter away from trees, power lines, storm water drains and streams.

If your home or property has significant damage, like a badly damaged roof or flooding, call the SES on 132 500.

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm WST Thursday.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's web site at Australia's official weather forecasts & weather radar - Bureau of Meteorology or call 1300 659 213.

The Bureau and Department of Fire and Emergency Services would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
Attached Thumbnails
Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-idw60280.png  
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Old Mar 13th 2015, 7:00 am   #9
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Default Re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Severe Weather Warning


IDW28001
Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally high tides
for people in the Central West, Lower West, South West, South Coastal, South East Coastal, Great Southern and Central Wheat Belt forecast districts

Issued at 2:37 pm WST on Friday 13 March 2015.

For people in parts of WA during SATURDAY southwest of a line from Jurien Bay to Paynes Find to Southern Cross to Hopetoun. This includes people in, near or between the following towns: Perth metropolitan area, Mandurah, Jurien Bay, Dalwallinu, York, Southern Cross, Narrogin, Katanning, Bridgetown, Bunbury, Busselton, Margret River and Albany.

People bounded by an area from Jurien Bay to Paynes Find to Kalbarri and along the coast to Jurien Bay, including people in near or between Kalbarri, Northampton and Geraldton are advised to refer to the latest TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE found at Current Tropical Cyclones.
Weather Situation

Tropical Cyclone Olwyn is expected to weaken in northern parts of the Southwest Land Division during Saturday morning and the remnants of the system will move in a south-southeast direction thorough central and western parts of the South West Land Division during the day.

The strongest winds are likely to be over central and eastern parts of the South West Land Division, with heavy rainfall most likely to be over central parts of the South West Land Division to the east of the Metropolitan Area. Should the system take a more southerly track on Saturday, heavy rainfall may extend to parts of the Metropolitan Area.

HEAVY RAINFALL and WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS in parts of the warning area north of Mandurah to Southern Cross during Saturday morning will extend into the remainder of the warning area west of Southern Cross to Hopetoun by early Saturday afternoon. Conditions should ease north of a line from Mandurah to Southern Cross by early Saturday evening. During Saturday HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES may cause FLOODING OF LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS along the west coast south of Jurien Bay and the south coast west of Hopetoun.

On Saturday the ex-tropical cyclone will produce

- HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING

- WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS to 100 kilometres per hour

- HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES may cause FLOODING OF LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS.

that could result in DAMAGE TO HOMES AND PROPERTY.

This is a rare weather event for people in the southwest of WA.

The Department of Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:

Store or weigh down loose objects such as outdoor furniture.
Have an emergency kit with a battery operated radio, torch, spare batteries and first aid kit.
Ensure pets and animals are in a safe area.
Move vehicles under cover.
Boat owners should securely moor their boats.
Campers should find shelter away from trees, power lines, storm water drains and streams.

If your home or property has significant damage, like a badly damaged roof or flooding, call the SES on 132 500.

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm WST Friday.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's web site at Australia's official weather forecasts & weather radar - Bureau of Meteorology or call 1300 659 213.
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Old Mar 13th 2015, 7:01 am   #10
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Default Re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Media: Transmitters serving the area between Exmouth and Denham are requested to USE the Standard Emergency Warning Signal before broadcasting the following warning.
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 38


Issued at 2:02 pm WST on Friday 13 March 2015
Headline:

Destructive winds continue at Carnarvon as Severe Tropical Cyclone Olwyn passes just to the west.
Areas Affected:
Warning Zone

Ningaloo to Jurien Bay, extending inland through the western Gascoyne and the Central West.

Watch Zone

None
Cancelled Zone

None
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Olwyn at 2:00 pm WST:

Intensity: Category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 150 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 205 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 45 kilometres of 24.9 degrees South 113.4 degrees East, estimated to be 25 kilometres west of Carnarvon and 115 kilometres north of Denham.

Movement: south at 24 kilometres per hour.

The centre of Severe Tropical Cyclone Olwyn is tracking very close to the coast as it passes just to the west of Carnarvon. The system is expected to remain a severe tropical cyclone before slowly weakening during this afternoon.

As it moves southwards it is expected to take heavy rain and squally winds into southern parts of Western Australia.

Hazards:

VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts exceeding 165 kilometres per hour remain possible in Carnarvon and nearby surrounding areas over the next few hours, before easing during the afternoon.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts exceeding 125 kilometres per hour may extend further south to Denham and surrounding areas during Friday afternoon and early Friday evening.

Gales with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced along the northern and central Gascoyne coast, including Carnarvon and surrounds. These conditions will extend further south reaching Kalbarri, Geraldton and surrounding areas overnight.

Residents between Ningaloo and Denham, including Coral Bay and Carnarvon, are specifically warned of the potential of a VERY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE as the cyclone centre passes close by. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and VERY DANGEROUS FLOODING.

Heavy rainfall is occurring over the western Gascoyne and is expected to extend further south during Friday. Heavy rainfall and squally winds will extend further southwards on Saturday. Please refer to the latest Severe Weather Warnings and Flood Watches and Warnings for more details: Western Australia Warnings Summary.
Next Advice:

The next advice will be issued by 3:00 pm WST Friday 13 March.

Cyclone advices and DFES Alerts are available by dialling 13 DFES (13 3337)
Attached Thumbnails
Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-idw60280.png  
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Old Mar 13th 2015, 11:12 am   #11
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Default Re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Media: Transmitters serving the area around Denham are requested to USE the Standard Emergency Warning Signal before broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 43
Issued at 6:55 pm WST on Friday 13 March 2015
Headline:
Tropical Cyclone Olwyn currently east of Denham and weakening as it moves towards the south southeast.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
Coral Bay to Jurien Bay, extending to the inland western Gascoyne, northern Central West and northwest Central Wheat Belt.

Watch Zone
None

Cancelled Zone
None

Details of Tropical Cyclone Olwyn at 7:00 pm WST:
Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 110 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 155 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 55 kilometres of 25.8 degrees South 113.8 degrees East, estimated to be 25 kilometres east northeast of Denham and 210 kilometres north northwest of Kalbarri.

Movement: south southeast at 24 kilometres per hour.

The centre of Tropical Cyclone Olwyn is tracking very close to the coast near Denham. The system is weakening as it moves towards the south southeast.

As the system continues to move towards the south southeast it is expected to take heavy rain and squally winds into southern parts of Western Australia.


Hazards:
DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts exceeding 125 kilometres per hour are possible at Denham and surrounding areas for the next few hours and may extend further south into Friday evening.

Gales with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are possible on and south of Carnarvon, including Denham. Gales are expected to extend to Kalbarri during the evening and further south reaching Geraldton and surrounding areas overnight.

Residents between Carnarvon and Denham are specifically warned of the potential of a VERY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE as the cyclone centre passes close by. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and VERY DANGEROUS FLOODING. Higher than normal tides are expected in coastal areas further south, including Kalbarri, Geraldton and Perth.

Heavy rainfall is occurring over the western Gascoyne and is expected to extend further south during Friday evening. Heavy rainfall and squally winds will extend further southwards on Saturday. Please refer to the latest Severe Weather Warnings and Flood Watches and Warnings for more details: Western Australia Warnings Summary.

Recommended Action:
DFES advises of the following community alerts:

RED ALERT: People in coastal communities from Cape Cuvier to Denham, including Useless Loop, Overlander Roadhouse, Billabong Roadhouse, Carnarvon and Wooramel.

YELLOW ALERT: People in coastal communities between Kalbarri to Dongara townsite and inland to Mullewa (this includes coastal communities and the towns of Port Gregory, Horrocks, Nabawa, Dongara, City of Greater Geraldton including Greenough. People need to take action and get ready to shelter from a cyclone.

BLUE ALERT: People in, near and between, the communities from Leeman to Jurien Bay, including Mingenew, Green Head, Morawa, Three Springs, Carnamah, Coorow, Moora, Dandaragan, Eneabba, New Norcia, Calingiri and Perenjori. People need to prepare for cyclonic weather and organise an emergency kit including first aid kit, torch, portable radio, spare batteries, food and water.

ALL CLEAR WITH CAUTION: People in coastal communities of Onslow, Exmouth, Nanutarra and Coral Bay are advised that wind and storm surge dangers have passed but you need to take care to avoid the dangers caused by damage.

People needing SES assistance can call 132 500. In a life threatening situation call 000. For more safety tips visit DFES Alerts and Warnings.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 8:00 pm WST Friday 13 March.
Cyclone advices and DFES Alerts are available by dialling 13 DFES (13 3337)
Attached Thumbnails
Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-idw60280.png  
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Old Mar 13th 2015, 11:14 am   #12
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Default Re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally high tides
for people in the Central West, Lower West, South West, South Coastal, South East Coastal, Great Southern and Central Wheat Belt forecast districts

Issued at 4:56 pm WST on Friday 13 March 2015.
For people in parts of WA during SATURDAY southwest of a line from Jurien Bay to Paynes Find to Southern Cross to Hopetoun. This includes people in, near or between the following towns: Perth metropolitan area, Mandurah, Jurien Bay, Dalwallinu, York, Southern Cross, Narrogin, Katanning, Bridgetown, Bunbury, Busselton, Margret River and Albany.

People bounded by an area from Jurien Bay to Paynes Find to Kalbarri and along the coast to Jurien Bay, including people in near or between Kalbarri, Northampton and Geraldton are advised to refer to the latest TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE found at Current Tropical Cyclones.

Weather Situation
Tropical Cyclone Olwyn is expected to weaken in northern parts of the Southwest Land Division during Saturday morning and the remnants of the system will move in a south-southeast direction thorough central and western parts of the South West Land Division during the day.

The strongest winds are likely to be over central and eastern parts of the South West Land Division, with heavy rainfall most likely to be over central parts of the South West Land Division to the east of the Perth Metropolitan Area. Should the system take a more southerly track during Saturday, heavy rainfall may extend to parts of the Metropolitan Area.

HEAVY RAINFALL and WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS in parts of the warning area north of Mandurah to Southern Cross during Saturday morning will extend into the remainder of the warning area west of Southern Cross to Hopetoun by early Saturday afternoon. Conditions should ease north of a line from Mandurah to Southern Cross by early Saturday evening. During Saturday HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES may cause FLOODING OF LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS along the west coast south of Jurien Bay and the south coast west of Hopetoun.

On Saturday the ex-tropical cyclone will produce

- HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING

- WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS to 100 kilometres per hour

- HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES may cause FLOODING OF LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS.

that could result in DAMAGE TO HOMES AND PROPERTY.

This is a rare weather event for people in the southwest of WA.


The Department of Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:

Store or weigh down loose objects such as outdoor furniture.
Have an emergency kit with a battery operated radio, torch, spare batteries and first aid kit.
Ensure pets and animals are in a safe area.
Move vehicles under cover.
Boat owners should securely moor their boats.
Campers should find shelter away from trees, power lines, storm water drains and streams.
If your home or property has significant damage, like a badly damaged roof or flooding, call the SES on 132 500.

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm WST Friday.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's web site at Australia's official weather forecasts & weather radar - Bureau of Meteorology or call 1300 659 213.
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Old Mar 13th 2015, 7:18 pm   #13
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Default Re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 50
Issued at 2:07 am WST on Saturday 14 March 2015
Headline:
Tropical Cyclone Olwyn is continuing to weaken but gales still possible at Kalbarri and Geraldton early Saturday.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
Billabong to Jurien Bay.

Watch Zone
None

Cancelled Zone
Overlander to Billabong.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Olwyn at 2:00 am WST:
Intensity: Category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 75 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 100 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 55 kilometres of 27.9 degrees South 114.7 degrees East, estimated to be 55 kilometres east southeast of Kalbarri and 100 kilometres north of Geraldton.

Movement: south southeast at 36 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Olwyn lies just to the southeast of Kalbarri. The system is weakening and moving towards the south southeast and is expected to take heavy rain and squally winds into southern parts of Western Australia on Saturday.

Hazards:
Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are possible at Billabong Roadhouse and Kalbarri and may extend to Geraldton over the next few hours and areas further south early this morning.

The potential of a VERY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE has passed however higher than normal tides are still expected in coastal areas south of Carnarvon, including Denham, Kalbarri, Geraldton and Perth.

Heavy rainfall is occurring in northern parts of the Central West and adjacent Gascoyne. Heavy rainfall and squally winds will extend further southwards during Saturday. Please refer to the latest Severe Weather Warnings and Flood Watches and Warnings for more details: Western Australia Warnings Summary.

Recommended Action:
DFES advises of the following community alerts:

RED ALERT: People in coastal communities from Cape Cuvier to Denham, including Useless Loop, Overlander Roadhouse, Billabong Roadhouse, Carnarvon and Wooramel.

YELLOW ALERT: People in coastal communities between Kalbarri to Jurien Bay townsite and inland to Mullewa (this includes coastal communities and the towns of Port Gregory, Horrocks, Nabawa, Dongara, City of Greater Geraldton including Greenough, Leeman, Jurien Bay, Mingenew, Green Head, Morawa, Three Springs, Carnamah, Coorow, Moora, Dandaragan, Eneabba, New Norcia, Calingiri and Perenjori. People need to take action and get ready to shelter from a cyclone.

ALL CLEAR WITH CAUTION: People in the communities of Onslow, Exmouth, Nanutarra and Coral Bay are advised that wind and storm surge dangers have passed but you need to take care to avoid the dangers caused by damage.

People needing SES assistance can call 132 500. In a life threatening situation call 000. For more safety tips visit DFES Alerts and Warnings.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 3:00 am WST Saturday 14 March.
Cyclone advices and DFES Alerts are available by dialling 13 DFES (13 3337)
Attached Thumbnails
Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-idw60280.png  
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Old Mar 13th 2015, 7:19 pm   #14
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Default Re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally high tides
for people in the Central West, Lower West, South West, South Coastal, South East Coastal, Great Southern and Central Wheat Belt forecast districts

Issued at 3:01 am WST on Saturday 14 March 2015.
For people in parts of WA during SATURDAY southwest of a line from Jurien Bay to Paynes Find to Southern Cross to Hopetoun. This includes people in, near or between the following towns: Perth metropolitan area, Mandurah, Jurien Bay, Dalwallinu, York, Southern Cross, Narrogin, Katanning, Bridgetown, Bunbury, Busselton, Margaret River and Albany.

People bounded by an area from Jurien Bay to Paynes Find to Kalbarri and along the coast to Jurien Bay, including people in near or between Kalbarri, Northampton and Geraldton are advised to refer to the latest TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE found at Current Tropical Cyclones.

Weather Situation
Tropical Cyclone Olwyn is expected to weaken in northern parts of the Southwest Land Division during Saturday morning and the remnants of the system will move in a south-southeast direction thorough central and western parts of the South West Land Division during the day.

The strongest winds are likely to be over central and eastern parts of the South West Land Division, with the heaviest rainfall most likely to be over central parts of the South West Land Division to the east of the Perth Metropolitan Area. Heavy falls may extend to parts of the Metropolitan Area.

HEAVY RAINFALL and WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS in parts of the warning area north of Mandurah to Southern Cross during Saturday morning will extend into the remainder of the warning area west of Southern Cross to Hopetoun by early Saturday afternoon. Conditions should ease north of a line from Mandurah to Southern Cross by early Saturday evening. During Saturday HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES may cause FLOODING OF LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS along the west coast south of Jurien Bay and the south coast west of Hopetoun.

On Saturday the remnants of Olwyn will produce

- HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING

- WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS to 100 kilometres per hour

- HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES may cause FLOODING OF LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS.

that could result in DAMAGE TO HOMES AND PROPERTY.

This is a rare weather event for people in the southwest of WA.

The Department of Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:

If outside find safe shelter away from trees, power lines, storm water drains and streams.
Close your curtains and blinds, and stay inside away from windows.
Unplug electrical appliances and do not use land line telephones if there is lightning.
If there is flooding, create your own sandbags by using pillow cases filled with sand and place them around doorways to protect your home.
If boating, swimming or surfing leave the water.
Do not drive into water of unknown depth and current.
Slow down and turn your headlights on.
Be alert and watch for hazards on the road such as fallen power lines and loose debris.
If it is raining heavily and you can not see, pull over and park with your hazard lights on until the rain clears.
If your home or property has significant damage, like a badly damaged roof or flooding, call the SES on 132 500.

The next warning will be issued by 6:00 am WST Saturday.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's web site at Australia's official weather forecasts & weather radar - Bureau of Meteorology or call 1300 659 213.
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Old Mar 14th 2015, 6:09 am   #15
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Default Re: Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA

Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally high tides
for people in the Gascoyne, Central West, Lower West, South West, South Coastal, South East Coastal, Great Southern and Central Wheat Belt forecast districts

Issued at 12:05 pm WST on Saturday 14 March 2015.

For people in parts of WA southwest of a line from Kalbarri, along the coast to Dongara, to Paynes Find to Southern Cross to Hopetoun. This includes people in, near or between the following towns: Perth Metropolitan Area, Kalbarri, Geraldton, Jurien Bay, Dalwallinu, Southern Cross, Katanning, Bunbury, Busselton, Margaret River and Albany.

The warning for the area northeast of Kalbarri to Dongara to Paynes Find has been cancelled.
Weather Situation

The remnants of ex-Tropical Cyclone Olwyn are moving in a south to southeast direction through central parts of the South West Land Division.

The strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will be over central and eastern parts of the South West Land Division, well to the east of the Perth Metropolitan Area, while coastal areas are likely to experience higher than normal tides.

HEAVY RAINFALL and WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS in parts of the warning area east of Dongara to Moora to Albany. Conditions should ease from the north during the afternoon and evening.

HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES may cause FLOODING OF LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS along coastal parts of the warning area.

On Saturday the remnants of Olwyn will produce

- HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING

- WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS to 100 kilometres per hour

- HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES may cause FLOODING OF LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS

that could result in DAMAGE TO HOMES AND PROPERTY.

This is a rare weather event for people in the southwest of WA.

The Department of Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:

If outside find safe shelter away from trees, power lines, storm water drains and streams.
Close your curtains and blinds, and stay inside away from windows.
Unplug electrical appliances and do not use land line telephones if there is lightning.
If there is flooding, create your own sandbags by using pillow cases filled with sand and place them around doorways to protect your home.
If boating, swimming or surfing leave the water.
Do not drive into water of unknown depth and current.
Slow down and turn your headlights on.
Be alert and watch for hazards on the road such as fallen power lines and loose debris.
If it is raining heavily and you can not see, pull over and park with your hazard lights on until the rain clears.

If your home or property has significant damage, like a badly damaged roof or flooding, call the SES on 132 500.

The next warning will be issued by 3:00 pm WST Saturday.
Attached Thumbnails
Including Perth - Tropical Cyclone Olwyn - WA-idw60280.png  
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