Go Back  British Expats > Living & Moving Abroad > Australia
Reload this Page >

Chinese money drives up house prices

Chinese money drives up house prices

Old Apr 5th 2010, 12:18 pm
  #61  
BE Forum Addict
 
freebo's Avatar
 
Joined: Feb 2008
Location: Hope Island, Gold Coast
Posts: 1,920
freebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond reputefreebo has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

I have no idea to what extent Chinese buying is causing the Australian property boom/bubble (you decide), but a growing number of economists are expecting a crash of the Chinese economy.

e.g. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aNZe4JWeV1aw
freebo is offline  
Old Apr 5th 2010, 12:34 pm
  #62  
Account Closed
 
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 14,188
iamthecreaturefromuranus is an unknown quantity at this point
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by freebo
I have no idea to what extent Chinese buying is causing the Australian property boom/bubble (you decide), but a growing number of economists are expecting a crash of the Chinese economy.

e.g. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aNZe4JWeV1aw
...and we all know how good economists are at predicting that sort of thing.
iamthecreaturefromuranus is offline  
Old Apr 5th 2010, 2:09 pm
  #63  
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
fish.01's Avatar
 
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 6,039
fish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by spalen
How the hell , in a population of 22M, which has had on record a horrendous housing shortage for decades suddenly have house price inflation because of a few chinese people with money. What a load of tripe.

The very fact that this country has such a huge rental market, and taxation policies to support that, should be enough for the average dolt to realise there is a shortage of stock. A shortage recognised at government level as such a problem that they put taxation policies in place to alleviate it to encourage private sector wealth to increase the housing stock.

Sounds like more poorly researched tripe, typical aussie media. Here's a tip - read the Guardian, Telegraph and Times websites before flipping over to news.com.au for a bit of light entertainment.
Without commenting on the main debate I didn't think Australia had "a horrendous housing shortage for decades "....it didn't seem that way in the 90's when demand was low and prices very stable?

Also, I thought Australia has roughly the same home ownership rate as the UK....wouldn't that make the percentage who rent the same as in places like the UK...either from private landlords or the govt?
fish.01 is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 12:42 am
  #64  
And YOU'RE paying for it!
 
Joined: May 2007
Location: kipper tie?
Posts: 2,328
lapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by fish.01
Without commenting on the main debate I didn't think Australia had "a horrendous housing shortage for decades "....it didn't seem that way in the 90's when demand was low and prices very stable?
I agree - and what is the definition of a "housing shortage", anyway? And where are we talking about - 1 bed units in Broken Hill, 3 bed houses in Perth, penthouses in Toorak, 2 acre Federation houses in Geelong?
lapin_windstar is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 2:18 am
  #65  
Wol
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Wol's Avatar
 
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 9,397
Wol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond reputeWol has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by lapin_windstar
I agree - and what is the definition of a "housing shortage", anyway? And where are we talking about - 1 bed units in Broken Hill, 3 bed houses in Perth, penthouses in Toorak, 2 acre Federation houses in Geelong?
The definition of housing shortage is quite simple - it's when people are paying way over what they would in a rational market, and way over what they can really afford. That's what is happening now.
Wol is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 2:22 am
  #66  
ah-beng
 
spalen's Avatar
 
Joined: Aug 2004
Location: ^.^
Posts: 3,113
spalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond reputespalen has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by lapin_windstar
I agree - and what is the definition of a "housing shortage", anyway? And where are we talking about - 1 bed units in Broken Hill, 3 bed houses in Perth, penthouses in Toorak, 2 acre Federation houses in Geelong?
RBA governor said in march - there is a housing shortage, the actual figure is put at around 110,000 homes forecast to reach 400,000 by 2020 based on the fact that we have above average population growth and below average new home approvals.

In aus about 1/3rd of homes are rentals.
spalen is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 2:29 am
  #67  
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
fish.01's Avatar
 
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 6,039
fish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond reputefish.01 has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by spalen
RBA governor said in march - there is a housing shortage, the actual figure is put at around 110,000 homes forecast to reach 400,000 by 2020 based on the fact that we have above average population growth and below average new home approvals.

In aus about 1/3rd of homes are rentals.
I could see the argument being made for a housing shortage now, just not for decades.

Australia is up there with the highest level of home ownership and is similar to the UK for example: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Owner-occupier
fish.01 is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 3:15 am
  #68  
Banned
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 1,855
mohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to beholdmohogony is a splendid one to behold
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Theres a housing shortage in the large cities, not in most regional areas. In the large cities you have limited space where large numbers of people want to live, while in regional areas you have plenty of space but few people want to live there.

Last edited by mohogony; Apr 6th 2010 at 3:22 am.
mohogony is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 3:16 am
  #69  
BE Enthusiast
 
Joined: Nov 2009
Location: Dullsville
Posts: 672
pomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by fish.01
I could see the argument being made for a housing shortage now, just not for decades.

Australia is up there with the highest level of home ownership and is similar to the UK for example: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Owner-occupier
This housing shortage myth is touted all around the world until a financial hiccup that reveals it was all a load of bull. It's a way the developers get 'help' from the local Govt and at the same time keeps house prices high.

Take this example, Californian 2006, it could of been straight out of an Aussie newspaper today and we all know what happened to Californian Real Estate, down 60%?

The California Building Industry Association (CBIA) continues to express alarm over what it calls an ongoing housing crisis in Southern California.

Alan Nevin, the association’s chief economist, projected in a 2006 CBIA Housing Forecast that only 185,000 to 205,000 building permits will be granted this year, far short of the 240,000 new homes needed each year.

Southern California has been experiencing a massive population boom in recent years and it’s believed that 6 million new residents will be living in the region by 2020. The population increase, coupled with the housing shortage, has the CBIA worried that it will be increasingly difficult for first-time homebuyers to find a moderately priced unit.
http://www.toacorn.com/news/2006-02-..._page/005.html

Similar news items can be found for Ireland, all the same content, not enough supply, foriegn investors bidding up prices, ad nauseum.
pomtastic is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 3:21 am
  #70  
Frequent Flyer Member
 
bcworld's Avatar
 
Joined: Jun 2007
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 10,994
bcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond reputebcworld has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by pomtastic
Take this example, Californian 2006, it could of been straight out of an Aussie newspaper today and we all know what happened to Californian Real Estate, down 60%?
Yes, but 'it's different here'.
bcworld is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 3:23 am
  #71  
And YOU'RE paying for it!
 
Joined: May 2007
Location: kipper tie?
Posts: 2,328
lapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond reputelapin_windstar has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by Wol
The definition of housing shortage is quite simple - it's when people are paying way over what they would in a rational market, and way over what they can really afford. That's what is happening now.
But this is a definition that is totally arbitrary and exists as long as people complain about how much housing, rent and mortgages cost - which is always. What's a "rational market"? What is the magic number of what people can "afford"?

So what if there are a lot of rentals?
lapin_windstar is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 3:34 am
  #72  
ABCDiamond
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by lapin_windstar
I agree - and what is the definition of a "housing shortage", anyway? And where are we talking about - 1 bed units in Broken Hill, 3 bed houses in Perth, penthouses in Toorak, 2 acre Federation houses in Geelong?
There is a massive shortage of 'affordable' 4 bed beach front housing !
 
Old Apr 6th 2010, 3:51 am
  #73  
BE Enthusiast
 
Joined: Nov 2009
Location: Dullsville
Posts: 672
pomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by ABCDiamond
There is a massive shortage of 'affordable' 4 bed beach front housing !
You are right, since the GBP collapsed against the AUD, Poms can't even afford a shitbox in a bogan suburb now, unless they get mortgaged up to the max. Ahhh, the Aussie Dream.
pomtastic is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 3:56 am
  #74  
BE Enthusiast
 
Joined: Nov 2009
Location: Dullsville
Posts: 672
pomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond reputepomtastic has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by bcworld
Yes, but 'it's different here'.
It is. We have a government and media that is hellbent on preventing prices to correct and keep the ponzi alive. Ah well, they can only do this for so long.
pomtastic is offline  
Old Apr 6th 2010, 4:08 am
  #75  
ABCDiamond
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: Chinese money drives up house prices

Originally Posted by pomtastic
You are right, since the GBP collapsed against the AUD, Poms can't even afford a shitbox in a bogan suburb now, unless they get mortgaged up to the max. Ahhh, the Aussie Dream.
Only for the Aussies and Chinese now then, till the £ recovers.

You need about $400k to get near waterfront property near me.
(2003 FX rate = £142k or 2010 FX rate = £240k)
 

Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.